Week 7 NFL Player Prop Bet Predictions - The Rithmm Roundup

Welcome to the Rithmm Roundup for NFL Week 7 player prop bets! Rithmm has tons of tools for you to take advantage of in order to make betting on the NFL (and many other sports) just a little bit easier.

In this weekly column, I'll be taking a close look at our NFL Player Props tools, which you can find on the Rithmm app/website (make sure you sign up for your seven-day FREE trial at the bottom of the column) and picking some NFL Week 7 Player Props and game predictions to spotlight. This article will drop every Friday afternoon, and then in the following week's posts, we'll recap how things went!

Remember, our goal is to make betting a little bit easier for you all with the help of our AI Sports Betting predictive analytical models, so with that said let's dive right into the Week 7 Rithmm Roundup.

Understanding Player Props on Rithmm

First, let's get familiarized a little bit with Rithmm's interface, specifically for AI NFL player props and AI Sports Picks.

Starting with player props, to access the full comprehensive list, simply click on the props button in the bottom left of Rithmm while on the NFL tab. You'll then be presented with a list that looks exactly like this.

You'll see a couple interesting things here. First of all, Rithmm provides up-to-date odds on lines, which is extremely handy so you don't have to head to the sportsbook app to see if the line has changed since seeing it. Our player props tool also will show you what the Rithmm AI model's projection is for that player. Lastly, you'll see a percentage number on the right side, the word DTM, and either a little green star or a yellow caution sign.

DTM stands for Difference to Market, and it represents the difference between Rithmm's prediction and the line that your sportsbook has. Rithmm will compare the probability that the player prop has of winning based on Rithmm's line and the book's line, historical data, and the book's payout to determine the DTM. Once that happens, if the difference falls within a certain window, Rithmm will label it a recommended bet by putting a green star next to it.

Keep in mind that the model is not the end-all, be-all here! We want you to also use the Research tab as well to support your theories when taking NFL Week 7 player props.

Best Week 7 NFL Player Prop Bet Predictions

Week 6 Record: 2-2

Season Record: 14-9

Let's get into it! These are a few of the best player props for NFL Week 7 that the Rithmm AI Model spit out, along with updated odds and DTM. We'll look at the research behind each play and see why Rithmm recommended it.

Week 7 Calvin Ridley (TEN) Prop Bet Predictions

Pick: Under 40.5 Receiving Yards (-113)

Rithmm Predicts: 23.5 Receiving Yards

DTM: 57.4%

Unders on Calvin Ridley, a recurring theme for me this 2024 season. Ridley has struggled all season long, going under this number in 3/5 games, including each of his last three.

He especially struggles against zone coverage, ranking third on the Titans in target share and fourth on the team in fantasy points per route run. The Bills run one of the highest zone coverage rates in the NFL and are a top ten defensive unit while in zone, making this an extremely tough matchup for Ridley.

Week 7 Jaylen Waddle (MIA) Prop Bet Predictions

Pick: Over 41.5 Receiving Yards (-113)

Rithmm Predicts: 57.5 Receiving Yards

DTM: 26.9%

I like this spot for Waddle, as wide receivers have pummeled the Indianapolis Colts' secondary all season long. Waddle has only gone over this number in 2/5 games this season, but things looked up in their most recent game, with Tyler Huntley finally grasping some control of the Dolphins' offense in his second start.

Waddle should see a majority of coverage against CBs Jaylon Jones and Samuel Womack, who have given up plenty of yards this season. The Colts are a bottom-ten unit defensively in zone coverage, and zone has always been Waddle's specialty.

Week 7 Jameson Williams (DET) Prop Bet Predictions

Pick: Over 47.5 Receiving Yards (-113)

Rithmm Predicts: 64.8 Yards

DTM: 25.1%

Absolutely love this play. Williams has gone over the number in 3/5 games this season and now faces a Minnesota defense that gives up the second-most receiving yards per game to wide receivers and also forces teams into pass-heavy scripts, ranking eight-highest in Pass Rate over Expected (PROE) Against.

Williams is also a deep-ball magnet, and with blitz-heavy defenses, as the Vikings' is, Williams' numbers skyrocket: 25% target share, 41% air yard share, 4.77 yards per route run, and 35% first-read target share.

Week 7 JuJu Smith-Schuster (KC) Prop Bet Predictions

Pick: Over 41.5 Receiving Yards (-115)

Rithmm Predicts: 50.8 Yards

DTM: 12.8%

I think Smith-Schuster has a big game this week in a Super Bowl rematch against the 49ers. JuJu did not play in that Super Bowl, but he played extremely well in the Chiefs' most recent game, with 130 receiving yards.

It seems like Smith-Schuster is playing the Rashee Rice role, slants and deep crossers included, which the 49ers have had trouble covering somewhat. They give up the ninth-most fantasy points per game to slot receivers, and with JuJu playing most of his routes out of the slot, we could see him heavily targeted by Mahomes.

Closing Remarks on the Rithmm Roundup on Week 7 NFL Player Prop Bets

Make sure you continue to check out all of our AI NFL Predictions and AI Player Props all season long by using the Rithmm website and app to build fast and informative predictive analytics betting models!

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