The 2024-25 college basketball season continues with a non-conference matchup between the Alabama State Hornets and the Auburn Tigers. Both teams have shown clear tendencies against the spread (ATS) this season, making this game an interesting one for bettors. Let’s break down our Alabama State vs Auburn predictions, picks, and best bets using insights from Rithmm’s AI-powered models.
Alabama State enters this game with a strong ATS record, going 3-2 overall and an impressive 3-0 ATS on the road. Their ability to cover as an underdog has been a key trend. Auburn, on the other hand, comes into this matchup struggling to cover as a favorite, with a 1-4 ATS record in that spot and 0-3 ATS at home.
Auburn is the clear favorite to win straight up, with their high-powered offense averaging nearly 87 points per game according to Rithmm’s model. However, Alabama State has been excellent at covering large spreads, making them a live play ATS.
Before locking in Alabama State vs Auburn picks, it’s important to consider recent betting trends:
Rithmm’s pre-built NCAAM model predicts Auburn to win 87.0-62.5. While Auburn is expected to win comfortably, the model strongly recommends taking Alabama State +31.5.
Using Rithmm’s AI-powered model, we analyze each team’s performance, betting trends, and predictive data to determine the Alabama State vs Auburn best bets. The model gives Alabama State +31.5 a 68.8% win probability against the spread.
After reviewing Alabama State vs Auburn predictions and the betting trends, my best bet is on Alabama State to cover the massive spread. The Hornets have been covering machines on the road, and Auburn’s struggles as a favorite and at home are hard to ignore.
Best Bet: Alabama State +31.5 (-107)
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