NCAAF

App State vs Coastal Carolina: AI Predictions

November 7, 2024

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Preview of App State vs Coastal AI Predictions

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App St Preview 

The Appalachian State Mountaineers are posting an average of 26.9 points and 436.5 total yards per game, ranking 79th in scoring and 32nd in yardage nationally. Defensively, they’ve struggled, allowing 34.4 points and 430.6 yards per game, which ranks 120th and 118th, respectively. The Mountaineers are averaging 152.8 rushing yards (73rd) and 283.8 passing yards (20th) per game, while conceding an average of 204.0 rushing yards (122nd) and 226.6 passing yards (78th).

Quarterback Joey Aguilar has thrown for 2,270 yards, completing 56.5% of his passes, with 18 touchdowns and 10 interceptions. Running back Ahmani Marshall leads the ground game with 73 carries for 354 yards and three touchdowns, averaging 4.8 yards per carry. Kaedin Robinson has been Aguilar’s top target, recording 48 catches for 764 yards and one touchdown, with an impressive 15.9 yards per reception. Defensively, safety DJ Burks leads the team with 42 tackles, followed closely by linebacker Kyle Arnholt with 41. Defensive end Santana Hopper is the top pass-rusher with 4.0 sacks, while three players each have one interception.

Coastal Carolina Preview 

The Coastal Carolina Chanticleers are averaging 30.9 points and 386.0 total yards per game, ranking 44th in scoring and 72nd in total offense. Defensively, they’ve struggled, allowing 32.4 points and 428.1 yards per game, ranking 114th and 116th, respectively. Coastal Carolina averages 172.4 rushing yards (53rd) and 213.6 passing yards (80th) per game, while conceding an average of 210.6 rushing yards (123rd) and 217.5 passing yards (67th).

Quarterback Ethan Vasko leads the Chanticleers with 1,401 passing yards, 9 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions. Running back Braydon Bennett has 60 carries for 391 yards and 7 touchdowns, averaging 6.5 yards per carry. Jameson Tucker tops the receiving corps with 22 catches for 414 yards and 4 touchdowns, averaging 18.8 yards per reception. On defense, linebacker Shane Bruce leads with 59 tackles, followed by safety Tobias Fletcher with 42. Linebacker Clev Lubin leads in sacks with 3.0, and four different players each have one interception for Coastal Carolina.

How I Use Rithmm Models for App State vs Coastal AI Prediction:

With Rithmm’s AI Picks model you are able to dive deep into just about any trend you can think of, below is just a snap shot of what I pulled for todays game. 

In the upcoming matchup between the Coastal Carolina Chanticleers and the Appalachian State Mountaineers, several trends and statistics provide insight into the game's dynamics:

Offensive and Defensive Performance:

Appalachian State:

  • Offense: The Mountaineers average 26.9 points and 436.5 total yards per game, ranking 79th in scoring and 32nd in total offense nationally.
  • Defense: They allow 34.4 points and 430.6 yards per game, placing them 120th in points allowed and 118th in total defense.

Coastal Carolina:

  • Offense: The Chanticleers average 30.9 points and 386.0 total yards per game, ranking 44th in scoring and 72nd in total offense.
  • Defense: They concede 32.4 points and 428.1 yards per game, ranking 114th in points allowed and 116th in total defense.

Betting Trends:

  • Against the Spread (ATS): Coastal Carolina has covered the spread three times this season (3-5-0).
  • Over/Under: The total has gone over in Coastal Carolina's last four games.

Head-to-Head Matchup:

  • Appalachian State leads the all-time series against Coastal Carolina, winning seven of the ten meetings.

Recent Performance:

  • Coastal Carolina is on a three-game losing streak, allowing an average of 37 points per game during this span.
  • Appalachian State has won its last two games, marking their first back-to-back victories of the season.

My App State vs Coastal AI Prediction

Appalachian State heads into Thursday's road game against Coastal Carolina riding the momentum of a recent victory over Old Dominion. The Mountaineers' offensive strength lies in their passing game, which ranks 20th nationally with an average of 283.8 yards per game. However, they are likely to start with a ground attack that averages 152.8 rushing yards per game, taking advantage of Coastal Carolina’s vulnerable run defense, which allows 210.6 yards per game. While Coastal Carolina allows just 217.5 passing yards (67th nationally), that stat may be deceptive, as most teams focus on exploiting their weaker run defense and pass less frequently. 

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Appalachian State has a strong track record in November, covering the spread in each of their last five games during the month. In contrast, Coastal Carolina has struggled against the spread, failing to cover in five of their last six games.

Selection: App St +1.5

If you’re looking for more Rithmms’ AI Picks you can check them out here.

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