The Arizona Wildcats travel to face the Duke Blue Devils in a high-stakes non-conference battle between two perennial college basketball powerhouses. Both teams are off to strong starts and sit at 3-2 against the spread (ATS) in their last five games. With Arizona getting +9.5 points on the road, this game is one of the most intriguing betting matchups of the week. In this article, we’ll break down Arizona vs Duke predictions using insights from Rithmm’s AI-powered betting model.

Preview of Arizona vs Duke Prediction

Arizona enters this game with a balanced offense and a solid 3-2 ATS record. They’re 1-1 ATS on the road and have held up well as underdogs. Meanwhile, Duke boasts a dominant home record and matches Arizona with a 3-2 ATS performance in recent games. The Blue Devils have consistently covered spreads as favorites, thanks to their explosive offensive efficiency and depth.

When analyzing Arizona vs Duke picks, it’s clear that while Duke is the better team on paper, Arizona’s ability to hang around in tough matchups makes this spread worth a closer look.

Who is Favored to Win Arizona vs Duke?

Duke is the clear favorite in this matchup, and Rithmm’s AI model projects a final score of Duke 79.3 – Arizona 72.4. The Blue Devils have the edge in offensive firepower, home-court advantage, and depth, all of which contribute to their favored status. Still, Arizona has proven it can compete in tight games, especially as a sizeable underdog.

Arizona vs Duke History and Betting Trends

• Both teams are 3-2 ATS in their last five games
• Arizona is 1-1 ATS on the road
• Duke is 3-2 ATS at home
• Arizona is 1-1 ATS as an underdog
• Duke is 3-2 ATS as a favorite

These trends suggest that both sides have been dependable against the number recently, and they inform our Arizona vs Duke predictions.

Model Used for Arizona vs Duke Best Bet

Rithmm’s AI model projects the following score:
Duke 79.3 – Arizona 72.4

With the current line set at Arizona +9.5, the model recommends taking the Wildcats with a 57.1% win probability to cover the spread. That makes Arizona +9.5 one of the top Arizona vs Duke best bets.

What Chance Does Arizona Have of Beating Duke?

While Duke is favored to win outright, Rithmm’s model gives Arizona a reasonable chance to stay competitive. Arizona has a 42.9% implied probability to cover the +9.5 spread and has shown enough consistency to suggest they can challenge Duke deep into the second half.

My Pick for Arizona vs Duke

After reviewing Arizona vs Duke predictions, picks, and model insights, the best value is on the Wildcats to cover. Duke should win at home, but 9.5 points is a wide margin against an Arizona team with experience, physicality, and the ability to trade baskets.

Best Bet: Arizona +9.5

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