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Hawks vs Nets: Predictions, Odds, & Trends - NBA

Hawks vs Nets Predictions, Odds, and Best Bets

April 10, 2025

The Atlanta Hawks take on the Brooklyn Nets in an Eastern Conference battle between two injury-riddled squads. While the Nets have leaned heavily on a depleted roster, the Hawks are dealing with their own set of absences—most notably Trae Young. In this Hawks vs Nets prediction article, we’ll break down model picks, betting trends, injury reports, and the best odds available for Wednesday night’s total.

Preview of Hawks vs Nets Predictions

Brooklyn has cashed the over in four of its last five games, but Atlanta’s total trends are mixed. The Hawks are 3-2 to the over in their last five, but the combination of missing offensive weapons and inflated totals makes the Hawks vs Nets picks tilt toward the under.

The model favors a game script where the scoring falls well short of the betting line, making the under one of the strongest Hawks vs Nets best bets on the board.

Who is Favored to Win Hawks vs Nets?

There’s no spread featured here—instead, this breakdown focuses on the Hawks vs Nets over/under, which is currently set at 232.5.

Rithmm’s AI model predicts a 120.5 – 106.8 win for the Hawks, totaling 227.3 points, which is more than 5 points below the current line. Based on this projection, under 232.5 is one of the sharpest Hawks vs Nets best bets for April 10.

Injury Reports for Hawks vs Nets

Hawks Injuries:

  • Clint Capela (Out – Hand)
  • Larry Nance (Out for Season – Knee)
  • Trae Young (Day to Day – Achilles)
  • Jalen Johnson (Out for Season – Shoulder)
  • Kobe Bufkin (Out for Season – Shoulder)
  • Jacob Toppin (Day to Day – Calf)

Nets Injuries:

  • D’Angelo Russell (Out – Ankle)
  • De’Anthony Melton (Out for Season – ACL)
  • Cameron Johnson (Out – Back)
  • Cam Thomas (Out for Season – Hamstring)
  • Day’Ron Sharpe (Out – Knee)
  • Noah Clowney (Out for Season – Ankle)

Both teams are severely shorthanded, particularly the Nets. These injuries make it hard to see either side lighting up the scoreboard—another reason the under makes sense for Hawks vs Nets picks today.

Hawks betting trends:

  • 3-2 to the Over in last 5 games
  • 1-1 O/U record on the road
  • 2-0 O/U as a favorite
  • 122.4 points per game (last 5)

Nets betting trends:

  • 4-1 to the Over in last 5 games
  • 2-1 O/U record at home
  • 3-1 O/U as an underdog
  • 113.4 points per game (last 5)

While recent trends lean over, the combination of injuries and model projections makes the under a smart angle for today’s Hawks vs Nets picks.

Model Used for Hawks vs Nets Best Bets

Rithmm’s AI-powered NBA betting model evaluates pace, efficiency, injuries, and recent performance to create accurate score predictions. For this matchup:

  • Projected Score: Hawks 120.5 – Nets 106.8
  • Projected Total: 227.3
  • Win Probability for Under 232.5: 60.8%
  • Recommendation: Bet the under at current odds of -110

These Hawks vs Nets predictions show strong value on the under and support fading the inflated total.

What Chance Do the Hawks Have of Covering?

While the Hawks are projected to win by nearly 14 points, our focus is on the total. The Nets have little offensive depth, and the Hawks are down a handful of scorers themselves. That’s a recipe for a game to land under the number.

With a nearly 61% model win rate on the under and both teams missing key contributors, Hawks vs Nets predictions suggest a tight, low-scoring contest.

Best Odds for Hawks vs Nets

Line shopping is key in sports betting. Here are the best odds for betting the under 232.5 total points in Hawks vs Nets:

  • FanDuel: u232.5 (-108) ✅ Best odds
  • DraftKings: u232.5 (-110)
  • Bet365NewJersey: u232.5 (-110)
  • WilliamHillNewJersey: u232.5 (-110)
  • PointsBet: u232.5 (-111)
  • MGM: u232.5 (-110)
  • SugarHouseNJ: u232.0 (-110)

To maximize your value, grab under 232.5 (-108) at FanDuel while it’s available.

My Pick for Hawks vs Nets

The Nets have been over machines lately, but their injury list is brutal. The Hawks also come in with offensive concerns, including the potential absence of Trae Young. With both teams down several scorers and the AI model projecting well below the total, the under is the best way to go.

Best Bet: Under 232.5 (-108) at FanDuel

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