The 2024-25 college basketball season continues with Baylor vs Duke in what should be an exciting non-conference showdown. Both teams are looking to build momentum heading into conference play. Let’s break down our Baylor vs Duke predictions, picks, and best bets using insights from Rithmm’s AI-powered models.

Preview of Baylor vs Duke Prediction

Baylor enters this matchup with a 3-2 overall record against the spread (ATS), but they've struggled on the road with a 2-3 record. The Bears have not performed well as underdogs (1-2), making them a risky pick despite their talent.

On the other side, Duke boasts a perfect 5-0 home record and has been dominant in the favorite role (5-0 ATS). The Blue Devils’ consistency at home makes them a tough challenge in this Baylor vs Duke matchup.

Who is Favored to Win Baylor vs Duke?

Duke enters this game as the clear favorite, supported by their undefeated home record and overall consistency. However, Baylor’s history of pulling off surprise upsets keeps this Baylor vs Duke contest interesting.

Baylor vs Duke History and Trends

Before making Baylor vs Duke picks, let's look at recent betting trends:

• Baylor is 3-2 overall ATS and just 2-3 in away games.
• Duke is 5-0 overall and 5-0 as a favorite ATS at home.
• Baylor struggles as an underdog (1-2), while Duke thrives as a favorite (5-0).

How Many Times Has Duke Beaten Baylor?

Historically, Duke has had the edge over Baylor in their limited meetings. With the Blue Devils' dominance at home and Baylor’s road struggles, this Baylor vs Duke matchup is likely leaning in Duke’s favor.

Model Used for Baylor vs Duke Best Bet

Using Rithmm’s pre-built NCAAM model, we analyze team stats and betting data to find the best picks for Baylor vs Duke.

Model prediction:

• Duke 77.1, Baylor 66.7
  The model suggests a comfortable Duke win but sees some value in the underdog.

Recommended pick: Baylor Moneyline (+635) with a 15.3% win probability.

What Chance Does Baylor Have of Beating Duke?

According to Rithmm’s model, Baylor has a 15.3% chance of pulling off the upset. While the odds are long, this makes them a potential high-risk, high-reward play in Baylor vs Duke predictions.

My Pick for Baylor vs Duke

After reviewing Baylor vs Duke predictions, betting trends, and Rithmm model insights, my pick is a small flyer on the Baylor Moneyline at +635. While unlikely, the Bears’ underdog spot offers big value in a matchup where surprises can happen.

Best Bet: Baylor Moneyline (+635)

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