Bears vs Lions: AI Prediction

The Chicago Bears and Detroit Lions meet Thursday in NFL action at Ford Field.

Preview of Bears vs Lions AI Predictions

Our AI Picks have you covered for this game + many more

Lions Preview 

The Lions are coming off a statement victory, defeating the Chargers 31-17 on the road. Detroit’s offense continued to shine, with Jared Goff completing 23 of 34 passes for 298 yards and two touchdowns. David Montgomery also made his presence felt, rushing for 94 yards and a score. Detroit’s defense stepped up as well, forcing two turnovers and holding the Chargers to just 58 rushing yards.

The Lions are averaging 27.8 points per game, which ranks fifth in the league, while their defense allows 21.3 points per contest. Ranked third in offensive efficiency and ninth in defensive efficiency, Detroit is proving to be one of the NFL’s most balanced teams. With Amon-Ra St. Brown leading the receiving corps and the defense pressuring quarterbacks effectively, the Lions have the tools to dominate on both sides of the ball.

Bears Preview 

The Bears are riding high after a surprising 26-24 win over the Panthers, marking their second victory of the season. Justin Fields returned from injury and showed flashes of his dynamic playmaking ability, throwing for 197 yards and two touchdowns while adding 55 yards on the ground. Khalil Herbert chipped in with 76 rushing yards, and the defense came up with two timely interceptions.

Despite the win, Chicago’s struggles remain evident. They’re averaging just 20.1 points per game (21st in the league) while allowing 26.5 points defensively, which ranks 29th. The Bears' passing attack is inconsistent, and their defense ranks 31st in pressure percentage, making it difficult to contain opposing quarterbacks.

How I Use Rithmm Models for my Packers vs Cardinals AI Prediction:

With Rithmm’s AI Picks model you are able to dive deep into just about any trend you can think of, below is just a snap shot of what I pulled for todays game. 

Lions Trends

1. Against the Spread (ATS):some text
   • The Lions have covered the spread in 8 of their last 10 home games.
   • They are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games against NFC North opponents.
2. Scoring:some text
   • Detroit has hit the over in 6 of their last 8 games, averaging 27.8 points per contest.
   • The Lions are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as favorites of 7 or more points.
3. Head-to-Head with the Bears:some text
   • Detroit has won 4 of the last 5 meetings, both straight up (SU) and ATS.
   • The Lions have averaged 31 points per game in those matchups.

Bears Trends

1. Against the Spread (ATS):some text
   • Chicago is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games as a road underdog.
   • The Bears are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games against teams with a winning record.
2. Scoring:some text
   • The Bears have gone over the total in 4 of their last 6 games, largely due to defensive struggles.
   • Chicago allows an average of 26.5 points per game, ranking 29th in the NFL.
3. Head-to-Head with the Lions:some text
   • The Bears are 1-4 SU and ATS in their last 5 games against Detroit.
   • In those games, Chicago’s defense allowed 30+ points three times.

Additional Insights:

• Over/Under Trends: Both teams have shown a tendency to go over the total in recent games, especially when facing each other. The Packers' defensive ranking and the Cardinals' high points allowed per game also point to the potential for a high-scoring game.
• Home and Road Trends: While Green Bay has been a relatively strong road team, Arizona has shown resilience at home, especially when playing as underdogs.

My Bears vs Lions AI Prediction

The under could hit in this matchup due to the Bears’ offensive struggles and the Lions’ ability to control the tempo. Chicago has averaged just 20.1 points per game this season and ranks in the bottom half of the league in offensive efficiency. Their inability to sustain drives, combined with Detroit’s ninth-ranked defense, could result in fewer scoring opportunities. Additionally, the Lions’ offense, while potent, has shown a willingness to lean on their ground game with David Montgomery and Jahmyr Gibbs, which could lead to longer, clock-draining drives. If Detroit builds a lead, they may shift to a more conservative approach, limiting the pace of the game and keeping the total score under the projected line.

Selection: Under 48.5 

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