Bears vs Seahawks: AI Prediction

The Seattle Seahawks' playoff hopes took a significant blow on Sunday following a 27-24 loss to the Vikings at home. After a strong four-game winning streak that placed them atop the NFC West, the Seahawks have now dropped two consecutive games, falling behind the Rams and needing external help to secure a playoff berth.

The Chicago Bears have two games remaining in what has been a disappointing season. After parting ways with head coach Matt Eberflus following a poorly managed Thanksgiving loss to the Lions, the team has struggled under interim head coach Thomas Brown, going 0-3, including a 34-17 home defeat to Detroit this past Sunday. This latest loss marked the Bears' fifth defeat in their last six games, a stretch that has also tested rookie quarterback Caleb Williams.

“I think we fight. I think we’ve got to have better execution,” Williams said postgame. He put up solid numbers, completing 26-of-40 passes for 334 yards and two touchdowns. Veteran wide receiver Keenan Allen turned in a standout performance with nine catches for a season-high 141 yards and a touchdown. 

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Seahawks Preview 

Head coach Mike Macdonald acknowledged the close nature of the game, stating, "The reason their record is what it is and what their record is in one-score games is because they’re a good football team. We hung right in there. We had an opportunity to win the game, and we didn’t. There are things in all three phases we can do better, but we also did a lot of great things. We gave ourselves a chance to win."

The game featured several momentum shifts, with Seattle taking a late 24-20 lead on a Geno Smith touchdown pass to tight end AJ Barner. However, after the Vikings regained the lead, the Seahawks’ final drive ended with Jason Myers narrowly missing a 60-yard field goal attempt. Smith finished the game with 314 passing yards and three touchdowns, but the offense struggled on third down, converting just 2-of-10 attempts. 

Defensively, the Seahawks held the Vikings to 298 total yards, including only 216 passing yards, with notable contributions from Josh Jobe and Tyrice Knight, who each recorded seven tackles.

To keep their playoff hopes alive, Seattle must win their remaining games, including a critical season finale against the Rams in Los Angeles. Statistically, the Seahawks rank 15th in scoring offense, 23rd in rushing, and fourth in passing. However, they are 29th in sacks allowed and 18th in red zone efficiency. 

On defense, Seattle ranks 13th in scoring defense, 23rd against the run, and 15th against the pass, while sitting at 17th in sacks per game and 13th in red zone defense. Their struggles with penalties (29th in penalties per game) and turnovers (26th in turnover margin) have also been costly.

The Seahawks are also dealing with key injuries, including WR Cody White, TE Brady Russell, CB Nehemiah Pritchett, and LB Patrick O'Connell, who are all sidelined.

Bears Preview 

The Bears’ offense totaled 382 yards but couldn’t match Detroit’s efficiency, as the Lions racked up 475 total yards and converted 7-of-12 third-down attempts. Defensively, Jonathan Owens and TJ Edwards led Chicago with eight tackles each.

Now sitting at 4-11, the Bears face a pivotal offseason, starting with the search for a new head coach. Interim coach Thomas Brown has two more games to make his case for a role with the team moving forward. Statistically, the Bears have struggled on both sides of the ball. They rank 26th in scoring offense, 25th in rushing, and 27th in passing, while allowing the second-most sacks in the league (31st in sacks allowed). However, they’ve excelled in the red zone, ranking sixth in red zone offense. 

Defensively, they are 14th in scoring defense but rank 26th against the run and 23rd against the pass. They’re 19th in sacks per game but stand out with the NFL’s third-best red zone defense. Discipline has been a mixed bag, with the team ranking 20th in penalties per game and eighth in turnover margin.

Injury concerns continue to loom, with OT Braxton Jones, G Teven Jenkins, C Doug Kramer Jr., RB Travis Homer, and DT Gervon Dexter Sr. all listed as questionable. 

How I Use Rithmm Models for my Bears vs Seahawks AI Prediction

With Rithmm’s AI Picks model you are able to dive deep into just about any trend you can think of, below is just a snap shot of what I pulled for todays game. ‍

Trends for the Bears vs. Seahawks game

Bears Trends:

• Recent Performance: The Bears are on a nine-game losing streak, currently sitting at 4-11 for the season.
• Against the Spread (ATS): Chicago is 2-6-1 ATS in their last nine games.
• Home Games: The Bears have lost four of their last five home games.
• Offensive Struggles: Chicago ranks 26th in scoring offense, 25th in rushing, and 27th in passing. They’re also 31st in sacks allowed, highlighting offensive line issues.
• Red Zone Strength: Despite struggles, the Bears rank sixth in red zone offense and third in red zone defense.
• Defensive Weaknesses: The Bears rank 26th against the run and 23rd against the pass. They’ve allowed an average of 277.3 passing yards per game over the last six games.

Seahawks Trends:

• Recent Performance: Seattle is 8-7 this season but has lost their last two games after winning four of the previous six.
• Against the Spread (ATS): The Seahawks are 4-2 ATS in their last six games.
• Road Success: Seattle has been excellent on the road, winning seven of their last eight away games.
• Passing Game Strength: Wide receiver Jaxon Smith-Njigba has been a key contributor, recording at least 70 receiving yards in seven of his last eight games.
• Turnovers: The Seahawks have been strong at capitalizing on turnovers, with their defense creating key opportunities.

Game Trends:

• Point Spread: The Seahawks are favored by 3.5 points.
• Over/Under: The total points line is set at 42.5, suggesting a moderately low-scoring game.
• Head-to-Head: Recent matchups between these teams have been competitive, though Seattle’s current form gives them the edge.

My Bears vs Seahawks AI Prediction

Seattle has hit the Over in three of their last four games, and both defenses have struggled to get consistent stops on critical downs this season. The Seahawks have allowed opponents to convert 73-of-195 third downs (37.44%) and 7-of-15 fourth downs (46.67%). Similarly, the Bears have given up 72-of-190 third downs (37.90%) and 9-of-18 fourth downs (50.0%).

Recently, both defenses have been giving up plenty of points. Seattle has allowed an  average of 20.4 points over their last five games, while Chicago has surrendered a staggering 34.0 points per game in their last three outings. Considering these defensive trends, betting on OVER 43.5 points looks like the better play in this matchup.

‍Selection: Over 42

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