Bills vs Jaguars: NFL Predictions - MNF

Welcome to Week 3 of Monday Night Football! This week, the Bills are taking on the Jacksonville Jaguars in Buffalo.

We'll be breaking down the game preview, our Rithmm model for this matchup, and my prediction for this game, so let's get into our Bills vs Jaguars MNF Predictions for Week 3.

Bills vs Jaguars MNF Preview

The only word that I have to describe the Jaguars' season so far: jumbled.

The offensive line is a mess, with breakdowns in pass protection leading to QB Trevor Lawrence being one of the league's most-sacked quarterbacks. Lawrence's game has suffered from this, with him not having time to really get the ball to his receivers Brian Thomas Jr., Christian Kirk, and Gabe Davis.

Things will get interesting with the Bills as their opponents this week, because the Bills could end up being another poor matchup for this embattled offensive group. The Bills have not allowed any deep completions this season, and they have also been one of the most successful pass rushes in the NFL so far.

Josh Allen has not really been on his game, but he's done enough to lead the Bills to two wins, and this could be another game where Allen really doesn't have to exert much pressure to get the victory.

That feeds right into my Rithmm custom sports betting model that I built for this game.

Bills vs Jaguars Monday Night Football Rithmm Model

Building NFL models using Rithmm's technology is super easy! All you need to do is go into the Rithmm website or app, click on the models tab under NFL, and either click 'Build a Model For Me' or 'Personalize a Model'. The first option will auto-generate a model for you using our AI simulations and backtesting to determine what works.

After clicking 'Personalize a Model', you can build your model, either by utilizing the pre-made factors, or if you have Rithmm Premium, you can build your own custom factors using any variety of our numerous research analytics. Once that model has finishing its "training" and you name it, you're ready to track some NFL bets!

For a complete look, check out how to build a Rithmm NFL prediction model.

This is a model that I put together specifically to target totals in games. As you can see, the backtesting is immensely accurate from a betting perspective when it comes to game totals, with a near-70% success rating.

Bills vs Jaguars MNF Game Prediction

It’s time to see my game prediction for Week 3 MNF. We’re going to go into my prediction that is based on my custom Rithmm model, and why I think it's a good choice.

If you want to see the full predictions for this game, including our recommended player props, make sure you sign up for your FREE seven-day trial of Rithmm by clicking at the bottom of the page!

MNF Game Prediction for Jaguars @ Bills

Pick: Over 46.5

Win Probability: 54.8%

DTM: 7.8%

This is a game that could be very one-sided.

I think the Bills are a lot better than people are giving them credit for despite the 2-0 start, and I also think we haven't seen them use most of the tools that are in the toolkit this season. With plenty of new faces in the WR room coupled with the position group's slow start, plenty have said that they're not the Bills receivers of old, but I disagree.

The Bills can doalmost anything with Allen leading them. He's capable of putting points on the board nearly at will and that's somethinbg I see him doing a lot inthis game tonight. The Jaguars have allowed the sixth-most completions of 20+ air yards so far this season, and they're also a below-average red zone defense. That could cost them in this game.

Closing Remarks on Bills vs Jaguars MNF Predictions

With this MNF game kicking off the 2024-25 NFL season, I think we're in store for a fantastic year, and if you follow all of Rithmm's insights and tools, you will be too.

Ready to elevate your NFL betting experience? Create a Rithmm account today and explore our AI-driven models for AI NFL sports betting picks. Choose between our core or premium subscription to unlock advanced tools and strategies designed to enhance your betting success.

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