Boise State vs UNLV: AI Predictions - College Football NCAAF

In a rematch of last year’s Mountain West Conference Championship game, #17 Boise State travels to Vegas to take on UNLV. In this AI Sports Prediction, learn how I leverage the power of AI and predictive models to make my sports wagering decision.

Preview of Boise State vs UNLV AI Picks

#17 Boise State and UNLV have their eyes on the College Football Playoffs. According to the Athletic, both teams control their destiny in pursuit of clinching the 12th seed.

Boise has a 33% chance and UNLV has a 32% chance of grabbing the group of five automatic bid.

Read how this AI-Powered CFB Prediction uses artificial intelligence and predictive models to guide my sports wagering decision.

Boise State Preview

Boise has long been known as a giant killer but now has become the hunted led by star running back Ashton Jeanty.

Jeanty has captured the attention of the nation and the Heisman Trophy committee.

1,248 rushing yards
9.9 yards per rush
Two games of two hundred-plus rushing yards
18 total touchdowns (17 rushing and 1 receiving)

Jeanty is a factor in my #17 Boise State vs UNLV AI Prediction.

Boise looks impressive so far with a record of 5-1 including a close loss to Oregon in week two and a dominant win against Washington State.

UNLV Preview

UNLV has had a great year with two wins over Big 12 opponents (Houston and Kansas) and an overtime loss to ACC foe Syracuse.

The season was almost derailed when starting quarterback Matthew Sluka suddenly left the program after a 3-0 start.

Sixth-year senior Hajj-Malik Williams replaced Sluka. Williams has gone 3-1 as a starter throwing for 838 yards with ten touchdowns versus only two interceptions.

Williams is also a running threat recording 390 rushing yards and four rushing touchdowns.

One last player to mention is WR Ricky White III. White was named to the third-team All-American by the AP last season. White is having another stellar year and since Williams took over at QB his numbers have exploded.

During the last four games:

36 receptions
488 receiving yards
Six touchdown catches

White is a factor in this #17 Boise State vs UNLV AI sports wagering preview and prediction.

How I use Rithmm models for Boise State vs UNLV AI Prediction

Rithmm utilizes predictive models powered by AI to produce game predictions. MIT graduates combined their knowledge of predictive analytics with a love of sports to create a top-notch betting tool.

Rithmm allows users to customize up to three models or you can have the data scientists do their thing and they will build them for you.

Below are the factors that go into Rithmm’s AI-powered predictions.

Rithmm provides users with models but also stats, trends, and rankings.

With a premium subscription, users are given access to odds from multiple sports books making line shopping an easier process.

Current odds:

UNLV +3.5
Total: 66.5

On the Rithmm application, there is a research section providing ratings and rankings. I will be using them for this matchup preview.

#17 Boise State

46.8 points scored per game
26.2 points allowed per game
68.8% win percentage
33.7 offensive efficiency
24.1 defensive efficiency
101.6 win ranking

UNLV

43.6 points scored per game
22.6 points allowed per game
64.7% win percentage
33.3 offensive efficiency
25.8 defensive efficiency
100.3 win ranking

For win percentage, offensive efficiency, and win ranking higher the better.

For defensive efficiency lower the better.

These teams are statistically so close and have both faired well against power four opponents. I’m leaning towards backing the home dog and taking the points.

Using Rithmm Models to Solidify My Prediction for Boise State vs UNLV

Rithmm provides predictive outcomes for the following wager types:

Spread
Moneyline
Total

As stated above I’m leaning towards UNLV +3.5.

For this Boise State vs UNLV prediction I will be using my CFB model which is 15-1 on spread bets this season.

The model agrees that UNLV is the right side.

For more information on how the models work click here.