Chiefs vs Browns: AI Prediction - NFL Picks for Todays Game

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Preview of Chiefs vs Browns AI Predictions

The Kansas City Chiefs have put together a stellar 12-1 record this season, most recently edging out the Chargers with a 19-17 victory. Kansas City took control early, leading 13-0 at halftime, but needed a last-second field goal to seal the win. The Chiefs outgained Los Angeles 298-288 in total yards, tied the turnover battle at zero, and converted an impressive 8-of-15 third-down attempts. On the Chargers' side, Justin Herbert threw for 213 yards and one touchdown, while Joshua Palmer hauled in six receptions for 78 yards.

The Cleveland Browns are 3-10 this season after they lost to Pittsburgh by a score of 27-14 in their last game. Cleveland led 7-3 after the first quarter, but they allowed the next 24 points in the game for the loss. The Browns out gained Pittsburgh by a total of 300-267, lost the turnover battle 3-1, and went 2-13 on third down in the game. Jameis Winston threw for 212 yards, two touchdowns, and two interceptions, while Jerry Jeudy caught five passes for 64 yards and one score. 

Chiefs Preview 

Before their win over the Chargers, Kansas City notched two more close victories, defeating the Raiders 19-17 and the Panthers 30-27. The Chiefs have been steady on offense, averaging 23.7 points per game with 227.6 passing yards and 110.6 rushing yards per contest. On defense, they’ve been just as effective, allowing only 19.4 points per game. Patrick Mahomes continues to lead the way, completing 68.1% of his passes for 3,189 yards, 20 touchdowns, and 11 interceptions. Tight end Travis Kelce remains Mahomes' go-to target, recording 80 receptions for 682 yards and two touchdowns this season. With a balanced offensive attack and a defense capable of making key stops, the Chiefs have solidified themselves as one of the league's top contenders.

Browns Preview 

Prior to that loss, the Browns lost to Denver by a score of 41-32, but did beat the Steelers by a score of 24-19 before that. The Cleveland offense has scored 17.8 points per game with 224.5 passing yards and 88.5 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 25.8 points against per game this season. Jameis Winston has completed 60.9% of his passes for 1,975 yards, 13 touchdowns, and nine interceptions, while Jerry Jeudy has caught 59 passes for 944 yards and four scores. 

How I Use Rithmm Models for my Chiefs vs Browns AI Prediction:

With Rithmm’s AI Picks model you are able to dive deep into just about any trend you can think of, below is just a snap shot of what I pulled for todays game. 

Betting Trends:

• Against the Spread (ATS): Kansas City holds a 5-8 ATS record this season, having failed to cover the spread in their last seven games. Cleveland has also struggled ATS, sitting at 4-8 on the season.
• Over/Under: The total points line is set at 44.5. Both the Chiefs and the Browns have seen the over hit in 6 of their 12 games this season, suggesting potential for a higher-scoring contest.
• Head-to-Head: Under head coach Andy Reid, Kansas City has had Cleveland's number, winning all four of their previous matchups, including a 33-29 victory in their most recent meeting.

Team Performance:

• Kansas City Chiefs: While the Chiefs have an impressive 12-1 record, they have struggled to cover large spreads, especially as significant favorites. They rank 20th in the NFL in net yards per play at -0.2, suggesting their record may be outperforming their actual on-field play.
• Cleveland Browns: The Browns have faced challenges recently, including back-to-back road losses to the Denver Broncos and Pittsburgh Steelers. Quarterback Jameis Winston remains the starter as the team looks to improve its offensive consistency.

Injury Updates:

• Kansas City Chiefs: Key players like D.J. Humphries and Joshua Williams have been dealing with injuries, but head coach Andy Reid has expressed optimism about their availability for the game.
• Cleveland Browns: The Browns are monitoring player health, but no major injury updates have been reported recently.

My Chiefs vs Browns AI Prediction

The Kansas City Chiefs have been walking a fine line lately, highlighted by their narrow two-point win over the Chargers. In that game, the Chiefs totaled 298 yards (202 passing) and  20 first downs, while allowing 288 yards and 20 first downs to Los Angeles. This marked Kansas City's sixth consecutive win decided by one score or less. Offensively, the Chiefs have struggled to light up the scoreboard, scoring 21 points or fewer in four of their last five games.

On the other side, the Cleveland Browns are coming off a loss to the Pittsburgh Steelers, where they held Pittsburgh to just 15 first downs and 267 total yards. However, costly mistakes derailed Cleveland's chances, as the Browns committed three turnovers and were flagged for nine penalties, totaling 81 yards. Defensively, Cleveland has been vulnerable, allowing 27 or more points in each of their last four losses. This could present an opportunity for Kansas City’s offense to find its rhythm and put more points on the board.

 Selection: Chiefs -4

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