Chiefs vs Saints: NFL Predictions - MNF

Welcome to Week 5 of Monday Night Football! This week, the New Orleans Saints travel to Missouri and GEHA Field to take on the defending champion Kansas City Chiefs.

We'll be breaking down the game preview, our Rithmm model for this matchup, and my prediction for this game, so let's get into our Lions vs Seahawks MNF Predictions for Week 5.

Chiefs vs Saints MNF Preview

What will the Chiefs look like now? That's the question that everyone wats answered.

First, they lost Isiah Pacheco a couple of weeks in after a terrific season last year. Pacheco was poised to go from seventh-round afterthought to leading the RB room of a top tier NFL team before fracturing his fibula in Week 2.

Then last week, superstar WR Rashee Rice was attempting to make a play after QB Patrick Mahomes threw an interception, but Mahomes, who was coming back to try and make a play of his own on the ball, accidentally rolled up on Rice's leg, causing Rice an injury that the severity of which has not yet been disclosed, but that most assume is close to a season-ending knee injury.

On the other side of thing, the Saints have been trying to get back to normal after three stellar wins to start the season got followed up by back-to-back tough losses against the Philadelphia Eagles and the Atlanta Falcons.

The Saints have plenty of talent with superstars Alvin Kamara and Chris Olave, but are they enough to defeat the champs?

That feeds right into my Rithmm custom sports betting model that I built for this game.

Chiefs vs Saints Monday Night Football Rithmm Model

Building NFL models using Rithmm's technology is super easy! All you need to do is go into the Rithmm website or app, click on the models tab under NFL, and either click 'Build a Model For Me' or 'Personalize a Model'. The first option will auto-generate a model for you using our AI simulations and backtesting to determine what works.

After clicking 'Personalize a Model', you can build your model, either by utilizing the pre-made factors, or if you have Rithmm Premium, you can build your own custom factors using any variety of our numerous research analytics. Once that model has finishing its "training" and you name it, you're ready to track some NFL bets!

For a complete look, check out how to build a Rithmm NFL prediction model.

This is a model that I put together specifically to target totals in games. As you can see, the backtesting is immensely accurate from a betting perspective when it comes to game totals, with a near-70% success rating.

Chiefs vs Saints MNF Game Prediction

It’s time to see my game prediction for Week 5 MNF. We’re going to go into my prediction that is based on my custom Rithmm model, and why I think it's a good choice.

If you want to see the full predictions for this game, including our recommended player props, make sure you sign up for your FREE seven-day trial of Rithmm by clicking at the bottom of the page!

MNF Game Prediction for Saints @ Chiefs

Pick: Saints +5.5

Win Probability: 55.2%

DTM: 5.4%

The dogs continue to be barking! Underdogs of 5.5 points or greater continue to be a strong side to take, as both the Cardinals and Giants won outright as seven-point dogs this weekend.

The Saints are definitely a team that should not be undervalued. Despite losing their last two, the defense ranks second in overall DVOA and third against the pass, which could help neutralize the Chiefs.

This is a Chiefs team that could be reeling with losing Rashee Rice. The only reason Patrick Mahomes has been fine not throwing the ball downfield as much this season is that Rice was crushing the short-intermediate passing game. Without his presence, the Saints can get in and make things hectic for the three-tim champ.

Closing Remarks on Chiefs vs Saints MNF Predictions

With this MNF game kicking off the 2024-25 NFL season, I think we're in store for a fantastic year, and if you follow all of Rithmm's insights and tools, you will be too.

Ready to elevate your NFL betting experience? Create a Rithmm account today and explore our AI-driven models for AI NFL sports betting picks. Choose between our core or premium subscription to unlock advanced tools and strategies designed to enhance your betting success.

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