Colts vs Dolphins: AI Prediction - NFL Picks for Todays Game

The Miami Dolphins and the Indianapolis Colts will meet Sunday in NFL action from Lucas Oil Stadium 

Preview of Dolphins vs Colts AI Predictions

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Dolphins Preview 

The Dolphins started their season strong with a 20-17 victory over the Jacksonville Jaguars. However, they then encountered a rough patch, losing their next three games: a 31-10 loss to the Bills, a 24-3 defeat against the Seahawks, and a 31-12 setback versus the Titans.

In their most recent game on October 6, the Dolphins faced off against their rivals, the New England Patriots. Miami closed out the final quarter with a 6-0 run to secure a 15-10 win. Quarterback Tyler Huntley threw for 194 yards with one interception, while Jaylen Wright led the rushing attack with 13 carries for 86 yards. 

Colts Preview 

The Colts began their season with two close losses, falling 29-27 to the Texans and 16-10 to the Packers. They bounced back with consecutive wins, defeating the Bears 21-16 and edging out the Steelers 27-24, before suffering a narrow 37-34 loss to the Jaguars.

Last Sunday, Indianapolis returned to the win column against the Titans. The Colts scored 10 unanswered points in the fourth quarter to secure a 20-17 victory. Quarterback Joe Flacco threw for 189 yards, two touchdowns, and one interception. Josh Downs led the receiving corps with seven catches for 66 yards and a touchdown. 

How I Use Rithmm Models for my Dolphins vs Colts AI Prediction:

With Rithmm’s AI Picks model you are able to dive deep into just about any trend you can think of, below is just a snap shot of what I pulled for todays game. 

1. Head-to-Head Matchup Trends

• The Colts and Dolphins have had a fairly even head-to-head record in recent seasons, though each team has taken turns with victories. The Dolphins have won most of their recent meetings, but games are often competitive.
• Home-field advantage can be significant, as both teams tend to perform better when playing on their own turf. Keep an eye on which team is hosting, as it may impact the outcome.

2. Recent Performance

• Dolphins: The Dolphins started the season with a win but have been inconsistent with a few losses afterward. They’re coming off a win against the Patriots, which could boost their confidence.
• Colts: Indianapolis has also been up and down, winning some close games and losing others narrowly. They are also coming off a win and have shown resilience, particularly in the fourth quarter.

3. Offensive Trends

• The Dolphins tend to rely on their passing game, with quarterback Tyler Huntley managing to make plays despite some interceptions. They may look to build on this and involve their rushing game, especially if Jaylen Wright continues his strong performance.
• The Colts have been led by Joe Flacco, who has shown he can find the end zone, though he’s had a few turnovers. Watch for Josh Downs in the receiving game, as he’s been a consistent target.

4. Defensive Performance

• Both teams have had vulnerabilities in their defense. The Dolphins have allowed high scores in a few games, indicating a potential weakness in containing both passing and rushing attacks.
• The Colts have also given up points but have managed to hold their ground in crucial moments, especially late in games. Their ability to close out could be a deciding factor if the game is close.

5. Betting and Point Spread Trends

• The Dolphins are often considered slightly favored due to their head-to-head success in recent years, but with both teams showing inconsistency, the point spread could be narrow.
• Games between these two teams can often go under the expected point totals, especially if both defenses step up. However, their recent offensive output suggests the potential for higher scores.

If you’re looking we player prop info, Rithmm also has you covered! Check them out here.

Indianapolis Colts Player Prop Facts

• Kylen Granson has recorded 11+ receiving yards in each of his last five October home appearances.
• Jonathan Taylor has scored at least one touchdown in each of his seven previous appearances against AFC East opponents.
• Jonathan Taylor has scored the first touchdown in five of his last six appearances with the Colts as favorites.
• Jonathan Taylor has recorded 91+ rushing yards in each of his last four appearances with the Colts as favorites.
• Jonathan Taylor has recorded 114+ rushing and receiving yards in four of his last five appearances against AFC East opponents.
• Heading into Week 7, Alec Pierce ranks 1st amongst qualified players for Yards Per Reception (28.3) this season.

Miami Dolphins Player Prop Facts

• Tua Tagovailoa has recorded 11+ rushing yards in four of his last five appearances against AFC opponents.
• Raheem Mostert has scored two or more touchdowns in three of the Dolphins’ last four games following a road win.
• Jonnu Smith has recorded 27+ rushing and receiving yards in five of his last six October appearances.
• Durham Smythe has recorded 12+ receiving yards in each of the Dolphins’ last six games as underdogs against AFC opponents.
• Raheem Mostert has scored at least one touchdown in each of the Dolphins’ last six games following a road win.

Overall, the matchup trends suggest a competitive game that could hinge on the teams' ability to execute on offense and limit mistakes, particularly in the passing game. The team that better capitalizes on defensive stops and avoids turnovers will likely come out on top

My Dolphins vs Colts AI Prediction

Overall, the matchup trends suggest a competitive game that could hinge on the teams' ability to execute on offense and limit mistakes, particularly in the passing game. The team that better capitalizes on defensive stops and avoids turnovers will likely come out on top

The Dolphins have a few key advantages that could give them an edge in their matchup against the Colts. Here are some reasons why the Dolphins could come out on top:

1. Momentum from Recent Win

• The Dolphins are coming off a confidence-boosting win over the Patriots, which could provide momentum and enhance team morale. Winning against a division rival like New England can be a big morale booster and may translate to increased focus and energy.

2. Offensive Potential

• With Tyler Huntley at quarterback, the Dolphins have shown they can move the ball effectively. While Huntley has been prone to some turnovers, he has also managed to put up solid yardage, giving Miami a capable passing threat.
• Jaylen Wright’s recent performance in the running game adds another dimension to their offense. If he continues to perform well, the Dolphins can establish a balanced offensive attack, keeping the Colts’ defense on their heels.

3. Defensive Resilience

• The Dolphins’ defense stepped up in their last game, particularly in the final quarter, allowing no points. This shows their ability to hold strong in crucial moments and could be pivotal against a Colts team that has struggled with consistency.
• Miami’s defense has also been opportunistic, taking advantage of mistakes and generating turnovers. Given that Colts QB Joe Flacco has thrown interceptions this season, Miami’s defense could capitalize on any mistakes he makes.

5. Better Track Record in Recent Matchups 

• Historically, the Dolphins have had a slight edge in recent meetings with the Colts. Familiarity with the Colts’ playing style and a history of success can boost the Dolphins' confidence and provide an edge in preparation and execution.

6. Fourth-Quarter Strength

• The Dolphins have shown they can finish strong, evidenced by their fourth-quarter performance against the Patriots. If the game remains close, Miami’s ability to close out games with solid defensive plays and clock management could be the deciding factor.

While the Colts have strengths of their own, the Dolphins’ recent momentum, offensive weapons, and ability to capitalize defensively on mistakes put them in a good position to secure a victory. If they execute well and maintain their composure, they have a solid chance of winning.

Selection: Dolphins +3.5 

If you’re looking for more Rithmms’ AI Picks you can check them out here.

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