
The Dallas Wings visit the Minnesota Lynx in a Wednesday night WNBA clash with a sizable spread and heavy home-court edge. Let’s take a look at my Wings vs Lynx prediction for tonight’s game and explore where the smart money lies.

The Wings and Lynx tip off at 8:00 PM ET on May 21 at Target Center, with coverage on KFAA. The Lynx are coming off two straight ATS wins and look to dominate a Wings team still searching for its first cover. My Wings vs Lynx prediction leans heavily toward a home blowout based on current trends and AI model performance.
Injuries play a minimal role in this matchup, though one absence is worth noting for Minnesota.
Lynx Injury Report:
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No players from the Wings are currently listed on the injury report, making them at full strength on paper.
The Wings vs Lynx picks clearly favor Minnesota, who enter as 12-point favorites across all major sportsbooks. Rithmm’s model gives the Lynx a 66.2% chance to cover that spread at -110 odds, marking them as the strong play tonight.
Let’s dive into the Wings vs Lynx trends over the last five games:

These Wings vs Lynx trends highlight Minnesota’s early-season dominance and Dallas’s struggles out of the gate.
While we’re early in the 2025 season, recent form strongly favors Minnesota. The Lynx have covered every line they’ve faced, while Dallas is still seeking its first ATS win.
Rithmm’s Pre-Built WNBA Model evaluates this game based on:

The model projects a 94.1–77.9 win for the Lynx—a 16.2-point margin that clears the spread with room to spare.
According to Rithmm’s AI model, the Lynx have a 66.2% probability of covering the 12-point spread. This Wings vs Lynx prediction is one of the most confident picks of the night.
Best odds for Lynx -12.0:

To get the best value on this Wings vs Lynx pick, shop the -12.0 line at standard juice.
Based on the model's 16.2-point projection and current betting trends, my Wings vs Lynx pick is Lynx -12.0 (-110). Even with Kayla McBride sidelined, the Lynx’s recent form and defensive edge give them more than enough to cover double digits.

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