Dolphins vs Patriots: AI Prediction

The Miami Dolphins head north to take on the New England Patriots in an AFC East matchup this Sunday and will decide which team will step out of last place in the division.

Below, we'll discuss different features of the App that I used for my NFL predictions including trends, player props, AI generated predictions and best odds all curated from the Rithmm App. At the end of this post, you'll understand how Rithmm's AI-driven models can help you make a more informed decision when placing your weekly bets.

How to Watch Dolphins vs Patriots NFL Game

The Patriots will return home to face the Dolphins and we have some additional information to get you started:

• Time: Sunday October 6, 1:00 PM ET
• Location: Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, MA
• Surface: FieldTurf
• How to Watch: Fox and NFL Sunday Ticket

Previews and Analysis for Dolphins vs Patriots AI Prediction

Rithmm App to create custom sports betting models to get my AI prediction.

Dolphins Preview

Miami enters this game 1 - 3 on the season and coming off of a poor performance against the Tennessee Titans on Monday night where they lost 31 - 12. That's the Dolphins third loss in a row as they've struggled to find any sort of offensive cohesiveness since the injury to starting quarterback Tua Tagovailoa.

Head coach Mike McDaniel has decided to continue with Tyler Huntley, who cobbled together a sluggish 96 yards passing with 14 completions on 22 attempts and no touchdowns last week against the Titans. The only good news is he also didn’t throw any interceptions. Huntley also rushed for 40 yards on eight carries and  for their lone touchdown last week.

The chemistry has definitely been off in Tua's absence and was exemplified by the frustrations of speedster Tyreek Hill who had 4 catches on 7 targets for 23 yards and no touchdowns while also running three times for 19 yards against the Titans.

Defensively, the Dolphins fare a little better ranking 6th in the league in total defense giving up 282 yards per game, 5th in passing defense with 162.5 yards per game and 16th in rushing defense allowing 119.5 yards per game while allowing 25.8 points per game.

Patriots Preview

New England enters this game also with a 1 - 3 record on the season and also having lost their last three games. Last week, the Patriots lost in San Francisco 30 - 13 but the biggest blow may have been the injury to team captain David Andrews who is expected to receive season ending shoulder surgery.

Patriots head coach Jarod Mayo took responsibility for the team's recent woes saying "We have to fix all the bad football, and that's my job." while then choosing to stick with nine-year veteran Jacoby Brissett over the number three draft pick, Drake Maye.

Brissett has thrown for 536 yards this season, completing 61 of 101 passes (60.4%) with two touchdowns and an interception. Last week against the 49ers Brissett went 19 of 32 for 168 yards with one touchdown and one interception while being sacked six times.

Defensively, the Patriots are 24th in total defense allowing 353.3 yards per game, 28th in passing defense with 254 yards per game and a much better 9th in rushing defense allowing 99.3 yards per game. And they will need to lean into that front line and pressure Huntley into making mistakes.

How I Use Rithmm Models for my Dolphins vs Patriots AI Prediction

I'm not going to lie here, this is a dog game between two teams trying to find some light in their own respective darkness. But this game does lend a chance for one of these teams to find a bit of good to build on and carry into next week.

And what's ultimately important here is how your Rithmm App can help you in your day-to-day betting and this is going to be a great example of how Rithmm can help you stay away from a game.

When you look at the lines for this game you will see that it opened with the Pats being favored -130 (DK) and has been steamed down to -115 as of this writing. All of this makes sense as the money is currently heavy to the Dolphins with a 54% bet split. But our models above tell us a different story as two of them are split between the Dolphins and Patriots and the app is giving you a convenient warning sign that there is some disagreement here. The third model is leaning decisively towards Miami with 17% DTM and a 59.8% win probability. We also see that the Rithmm community is 71.3% on the Dolphins. That's great information.

But what if you weren't sold on the Dolphins winning this game outright? What if your other metrics say otherwise?

Well, then let's look at the spread:

In this instance we have a bit more agreement, but we're still getting a warning on two of the models while the third model, once again, leans Dolphins +1 with a 19.4% DTM and a 62.7% win probability. If more than one model agreed here, I'd be inclined to take a deeper dive into this possibility. Yet, when you look at the numbers, you'd see that the Patriots are actually favored on the spread -1 with a 57% bet split. The line has also moved towards the Dolphins, opening at -2 and is now down to -1 (DK). And again our Rithmm community is on the Dolphins by a wide margin of 87.6%.

What am I trying to say here? Sometimes the best bet is NO bet. It's okay to stay away. And if the way you were leaning ends up being right, you use that as part of your metrics for the next game that is as indecisive as this one is looking to be. There's no "gut instinct" here.

Look, sports betting is about a lot of things coming together to give you a direction, and the Rithmm App makes some of these things easier by bringing you clear and actionable intel about any game.

In this case, for me, that action is a no bet.

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