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Dream vs Storm: AI Predictions from Custom WNBA Models

July 14, 2024

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The Atlanta Dream travel to Seattle on Sunday to face the Storm in an East-West WNBA matchup. The Dream are looking to break a six-game losing streak heading into this Friday's game. Meanwhile, the Storm are on the rise, just one game behind first-place Minnesota in the Western Conference.

The game is set to tip off at 6:00 PM EST.

Preview of my Dream vs Storm AI Prediction

The Atlanta Dream and Seattle Storm meet Sunday in WNBA action at the Climate Pledge Arena. Our AI Picks have you covered for this game + many more.

Atlanta Dream Preview

The Atlanta Dream are in a challenging stretch as they head to Seattle, having lost six straight games and falling to a 7-15 record for the season. On Friday night, the Dream were defeated 84-70 by the Las Vegas Aces in Atlanta.

Cheyenne Parker-Tyus came off the bench to lead the team with 17 points, while Tina Charles contributed a double-double with 12 points and 12 rebounds. The Dream struggled with their shooting, hitting just 38 percent from the floor overall, including a dismal 2-of-19 from 3-point range.

The Dream will look to end their losing streak against the Storm on Sunday. They currently rank last in the WNBA in scoring. Offensively, they are 8th in field goal percentage and 10th in 3-point field goal percentage, while also ranking 11th in 3-pointers made per game.

Defensively, the Dream are fifth in scoring defense and field goal defense but rank just 10th in 3-point defense. On the boards, they are fifth in total rebounds per game and in fewest turnovers per game. Lastly, the Dream are 9th in point differential at -5.7.

This plays a key role in my ATL vs SEA AI prediction.

Seattle Storm Preview

The Seattle Storm have been playing well this WNBA season and need to maintain their winning momentum to solidify their playoff position. They are coming off a dominant 91-63 home victory against the Minnesota Lynx, greatly aided by veteran forward Nneka Ogwumike, who contributed 26 points, seven rebounds, and three assists.

The Storm need to continue controlling the offensive side of the floor, where they rank third in the WNBA, averaging 84.2 points per game while shooting 43.5 percent from the field.

Defensively, they are equally impressive, ranking fourth in the league by allowing only 77.7 points per game. Seattle must keep up their dominant performance to remain a formidable force as the season progresses.

How I Use Rithmm Models for Dream vs Storm AI Prediction

With Rithmm’s AI WNBA Picks model you are able to dive deep into just about any trend you can think of, below is just a snap shot of what I pulled for todays game.

Team Performance:

  • The Storm have been struggling, losing their last six games and holding a 4-15 record this season. They are 1-5 against the spread (ATS) in their last six games and 0-5 straight up (SU) in their last five games​.
  • The Dream, on the other hand, are on a five-game winning streak and have a 10-8 record. They are 5-0 ATS in their last five games and 5-0 SU during this streak​).

Head-to-Head Matchups:

  • Historically, Seattle has dominated Atlanta, winning 8 of their last 9 matchups. However, the Dream have covered the spread in 11 of their last 16 home games against the Storm​.

Offensive and Defensive Stats:

  • The Storm are scoring an average of 79.2 points per game while allowing 86.4 points per game, making them one of the weaker defensive teams in the league​).
  • The Dream are scoring 86.7 points per game and allowing 87 points per game. Despite a slightly negative point differential, they have been performing well recently.

Player Performances:

  • For the Storm, Jewell Loyd has been a standout, averaging 25.7 points per game this season. However, the team lacks additional strong offensive support​.
  • For the Dream, Rhyne Howard has been dominant, averaging 26.8 points per game over the last four games, including a 43-point game against the Los Angeles Sparks. Allisha Gray and Cheyenne Parker have also been significant contributors during their winning streak​.
Dream vs Storm WNBA Model

If you’re looking to read about AI Backed WNBA picks you can check them out here.

My Dream vs Storm AI Prediction

The ability to score points for both of these teams has been evident and the fact they have not matched up means they could struggle to defend against one another. Both defenses have not been performing too well in their last few games before Sunday’s tipoff as Atlanta has allowed 81.8 points in their last five games while Seattle has given up 81.0 points in their previous three games.

These teams have done a great job at getting second-chance opportunities as they are grabbing offensive rebounds at a great rate.

The Dream are fifth in women’s basketball with 8.4 offensive rebounds per game while the Storm are barely ahead of them as they are in third place in the WNBA with 9.3 offensive rebounds per game thus far.

Selection: Over 154.5

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Best of luck everybody!

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