Falcons vs Buccaneers: NFL Predictions - TNF

Last week on Thursday Night Football, the  Dallas Cowboys defeated the New York Giants, 20-15.

This week, a third divisional matchup in a row hits, with the Atlanta Falcon taking on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in Atlanta.

We'll be breaking down the game preview, our Rithmm model for this matchup, and my prediction for this game, so let's get into our Falcons vs Buccaneers TNF Predictions for Week 5.

Falcons vs Buccaneers TNF Preview

Both the Falcons and Buccaneers are coming off of impressive wins in this spot, with the Buccaneers having just blown out the Eagles and the Falcons sneaking a tough win away from the Saints.

In this matchup though, I'm looking at the extremely pass-heavy Buccaneers and how they can lean on that to control this matchup like they did against the Eagles. Baker Mayfield has been firing on all cylinders and has plenty of good rhythm.

On the Falcons' side of things, we are finally seeing what we thought we would when the Falcons signed Kirk Cousins. Drake London has been playing well, Bijan Robinson has gotten plenty of run, but it does feel like the walls are closing in on a Kyle Pitts breakout.

That feeds right into my Rithmm custom sports betting model that I built for this game.

Falcons vs Buccaneers Thursday Night Football Rithmm Model

Building NFL models using Rithmm's technology is super easy! All you need to do is go into the Rithmm website or app, click on the models tab under NFL, and either click 'Build a Model For Me' or 'Personalize a Model'. The first option will auto-generate a model for you using our AI simulations and backtesting to determine what works.

After clicking 'Personalize a Model', you can build your model, either by utilizing the pre-made factors, or if you have Rithmm Premium, you can build your own custom factors using any variety of our numerous research analytics. Once that model has finishing its "training" and you name it, you're ready to track some NFL bets!

For a complete look, check out how to build a Rithmm NFL prediction model.

This is a model that I put together specifically to target totals in games. As you can see, the backtesting is immensely accurate from a betting perspective when it comes to game totals, with a near-70% success rating.

Falcons vs Buccaneers TNF Game Prediction

It’s time to see my game prediction for Week 5 TNF. We’re going to go into my prediction that is based on my custom Rithmm model, and why I think it's a good choice.

If you want to see the full predictions for this game, including our recommended player props, make sure you sign up for your FREE seven-day trial of Rithmm by clicking at the bottom of the page!

TNF Game Prediction for Buccaneers @ Falcons

Pick: Over 44

Win Probability: 58.1%%

DTM: 10.4%‍

This game just screams over, and to me it feels very similar to the Falcons and Saints game from this past week, another game the model predicted an over on that was hit.

Both the Falcons and Buccaneers have the skill players to put points on the board, and with both teams ranking in the top half of the league in terms of Pass Rate over Expected, I expect this game to go over the total.

Closing Remarks on Falcons vs Buccaneers TNF Predictions

I think we're in store for a fantastic year, and if you follow all of Rithmm's insights and tools, you will be too.

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