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Falcons vs Chiefs: NFL Predictions - SNF

September 20, 2024

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Welcome to Week 3 of Sunday Night Football! This week, the Kansas City Chiefs are in Atlanta to take on the Falcons in what could definitely be a great game.

We'll be breaking down the game preview, our Rithmm model for this matchup, and my prediction for this game, so let's get into our Falcons vs Chiefs SNF Predictions for Week 3.

Falcons vs Chiefs SNF Preview

Through two weeks, the Chiefs look like the same winning team that just won back-to-back Super Bowls, outlasting the Baltimore Ravens in Week 1 and then sneaking by the Cincinnati Bengals in the last minute the following week. Despite both being close games, these are Kansas City's two biggest rivals in the AFC, so it's notable.

With RB Isiah Pacheco going down for 6-8 weeks with a fractured fibula, the Chiefs have to decide what to do at the running back position with Carson Steele, Samaje Perine, and Kareem Hunt available to use. We could definitely see QB Patrick Mahomes throw more here.

The Falcons are coming off of a terrific win against the Philadelphia Eagles last week, something most did not see coming after an extremely lackluster offensive performance in Week 1 against the Steelers. QB Kirk Cousins looked much better over a week of play, so we know the Falcons can move the ball down the field now.

That feeds right into my Rithmm custom sports betting model that I built for this game.

Falcons vs Chiefs Sunday Night Football Rithmm Model

Building NFL models using Rithmm's technology is super easy! All you need to do is go into the Rithmm website or app, click on the models tab under NFL, and either click 'Build a Model For Me' or 'Personalize a Model'. The first option will auto-generate a model for you using our AI simulations and backtesting to determine what works.

After clicking 'Personalize a Model', you can build your model, either by utilizing the pre-made factors, or if you have Rithmm Premium, you can build your own custom factors using any variety of our numerous research analytics. Once that model has finishing its "training" and you name it, you're ready to track some NFL bets!

For a complete look, check out how to build a Rithmm NFL prediction model.

This is a model that I put together specifically to target totals in games. As you can see, the backtesting is immensely accurate from a betting perspective when it comes to game totals, with a near-70% success rating.

Falcons vs Chiefs SNF Game Prediction

It’s time to see my game prediction for Week 3 SNF. We’re going to go into my prediction that is based on my custom Rithmm model, and why I think it's a good choice.

If you want to see the full predictions for this game, including our recommended player props, make sure you sign up for your FREE seven-day trial of Rithmm by clicking at the bottom of the page!

SNF Game Prediction for Chiefs @ Falcons

Pick: Over 46.5

Win Probability: 56.4%

DTM: 7.7%

We're currently 3-0 on the season with this model on totals, so we're looking to continue thenice streak here. I think both teams will be able to move the ball uyp andf down the field in this one.

Mahomes and the Chiefs will be able to move the ball on any team, but especially against a Falcons' secondary that gave up a couple of very long scoring drives to the Eagles last week. They sometimes struggle to tackle and that will have defenses gassed against receivers that can be shifty in Rashee Rice, Travis Kelce and Xavier Worthy.

On the Falcons' side of things, this could be a Kyle Pitts game against a Chiefs' defense that gave up stellar games to Isaiah Likely and Mike Gesicki in back-to-back weeks. Drake London should also get some room to run against this secondary that has not played as well as 2023 just yet.

Closing Remarks on Falcons vs Chiefs SNF Predictions

With this SNF game kicking off the 2024-25 NFL season, I think we're in store for a fantastic year, and if you follow all of Rithmm's insights and tools, you will be too.

Ready to elevate your NFL betting experience? Create a Rithmm account today and explore our AI-driven models for AI NFL sports betting picks. Choose between our core or premium subscription to unlock advanced tools and strategies designed to enhance your betting success.

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