The New Orleans Saints and Atlanta Falcons face off this Sunday in NFL action at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. Here's a breakdown and prediction for the matchup between the Falcons and Saints. We'll analyze the game from a betting perspective and determine the best pick for Falcons vs. Saints.

Preview of Falcomns vs Saints AI Predictions

Our AI Picks have you covered for this game + many more

Saints Preview 

The Saints started the season with two strong offensive showings. They began with a dominant 47-10 win over the Panthers, followed by a 44-19 road victory against the Dallas Cowboys, moving them to 2-0.

In their third game against the Philadelphia Eagles, the Saints held a 3-0 lead heading into the final quarter. However, by the end, they suffered a 15-12 loss. Derek Carr threw for 142 yards with one touchdown and one interception, while Chris Olave led the receiving corps with 86 yards and a touchdown on six catches.

Falcons Preview 

On the Atlanta side, their season kicked off with a home game against the Pittsburgh Steelers, where the Falcons fell 18-10. In their second game, they secured their first win in a close 22-21 road victory over the Philadelphia Eagles.

Facing the Chiefs on Sunday evening, the Falcons led 14-13 at halftime but managed only three points in the second half, ultimately losing 22-17. Kirk Cousins threw for 230 yards with a touchdown and an interception, while Drake London hauled in six receptions for 67 yards and a score.

How I Use Rithmm Models for my Eagles vs Saints AI Prediction:

With Rithmm’s AI Picks model you are able to dive deep into just about any trend you can think of, below is just a snap shot of what I pulled for todays game. 

Saints Trends:

• The Saints have performed well as road underdogs, winning their last four games in that position.
• They’ve also covered the spread in 12 of their last 13 games as underdogs on the East Coast​ However, after a hot start offensively, scoring 91 points in their first two games, their offense slowed down in their recent loss to the Eagles​

Atlanta Falcons Trends:

• The Falcons have struggled as favorites in Week 4 games, losing five of their last six games in that spot.
• They also tend to start slow, losing the first quarter in each of their last two Week 4 games as home favorites​
• Despite some bright spots, such as their strong first-half performances, they’ve had trouble maintaining momentum in the second half​

Team Total Trends:

• Each of the Saints’ last nine games played as underdogs on the East Coast have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Eight of the Falcons’ last nine September games against NFC South opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
• Four of the last five Sunday games at Mercedes-Benz Stadium have gone UNDER the total points line.

My Falcons vs Saints AI Prediction

Both teams are looking for a stronger offensive showing after lackluster performances last weekend. The Saints managed just 219 total yards (130 passing) and 12 first downs in their loss to the Eagles. Despite forcing a couple of turnovers, their defense allowed 20 first downs, 6.9 yards per play, and a total of 460 yards, including 288 through the air. 

The Falcons fared slightly better with 311 total yards (229 passing) against the Chiefs, but they struggled on third downs, converting just 2 of 9 attempts. Atlanta lost momentum after halftime and couldn’t regain their rhythm, though a controversial no-call late in the game had a significant impact.

This week, both teams should improve, but I expect the Saints to cover and secure the win. After scoring 91 points in their first two games, New Orleans has shown they can put up big numbers​

Selection: Saints +1.5  

If you’re looking for more Rithmms’ AI Picks you can check them out here.

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