Fever vs Liberty: AI Prediction
Table of Contents
In this article, we'll go over three of the models I built using Rithmm (3 Pts, tempo, and defense) that led to my Fever vs Liberty AI prediction and how to filter through all of the bet options.
Using Rithmm Models for Fever vs Liberty AI Predictions
I was able to make my picks using Rithmm to build easy custom sports betting models, which allows users to make informed betting decisions rather than relying purely on intuition.
In this case, I created three different models, each focusing on one key factor that I believe influences games:
- 3-Pointer Model
- Tempo Model
- Defense Model
I then went to the "Best Game Picks" section in the app and filtered for today's games and spreads.
The Rithmm app provided the highest recommended pick from each model, allowing me to compare their predictions for how the game will finish.
3 Pointers Model
Our 3 pointers model focuses on not just how often but how efficient a team shoots from beyond the arc. As shown in the graphic below, I adjusted the model factors so that three-pointers factors has the most weight.
In this matchup between the Fever and the Liberty, the Fever have struggled to hit consistently from deep with a 32.2% from deep, while the Liberty have also struggled from 3, hitting at just a 30.7% clip from beyond.
As a result, the 3 pointers model's AI prediction for the Indiana Fever vs New York Liberty is:
- Liberty -15.0 (vs. Fever)
Tempo Model
The tempo model is used to determine which teams have the most possessions within the 40 minute game. In this model, I turned the Tempo factor all the way up to see how that affected the Fever vs Liberty AI pick.
In tonight's case, the Liberty are ranked 10th in PACE which measures the amount of possessions with 96.82 as the Fever are right above them at 97.44 possessions.
As a result, the tempo model's AI prediction for the Indiana Fever vs New York Liberty is:
- Fever +15.0 (vs. Liberty)
Defense Model
Defense wins championships! In this model, the AI uses metrics like steals, blocks, turnovers forced, and points allowed to measure a team's skill on defense or just their defensive rating overall. As you can see, I turned the defense factor all the way up in this custom sports betting model.
Tonight, the Liberty play a really strong brand of basketball on defense with a defensive rating of 95.8 while the Fever are sitting at the bottom with a league-worst 110.1 defensive rating.
As a result, the Indiana Fever vs New York Liberty Ai prediction form the defense model is:
- Fever +15.0 (vs. Liberty)
Additional considerations for my Fever vs Liberty AI pick
Below is my insight for the Fever vs Liberty game:
- Indiana Fever: The Fever on the other hand are led by Caitlin Clark who is averaging 16.9 PPG and over 6 assists per game. While they are 2-8 on the season, and they are 5-5 against the spread.
- New York Liberty: The Liberty looks strong to start off the season with a 6-2 record led by super star Breanna Stewart and 3 point specialist Sabrina Ionescu. They are 3rd in the entire WNBA when it comes to difference, beating teams by an average of 6.4 points.
My Indiana Fever vs New York Liberty Prediction
My pick based off of data from my three Rithmm's models: Liberty -15.0 (vs. Fever)
Based off my my models, I believe that the Liberty are one of the best teams in the league and have shown to have no issue with the Fever in their last two games.
This matchup should be very intriguing as Caitlin Clark gets another shot at Breanna Stewart and the Liberty.
New York Liberty vs Indiana Fever AI Prediction
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