Fever vs Wings: AI Predictions from Custom WNBA Models

As the WNBA heads into the Olympic break, the final regular season game on the slate features an interconference matchup in the Lone Star State. The Indiana Fever will travel to face the Dallas Wings on Wednesday night.

Indiana is coming off an 81-74 road victory over Minnesota on Sunday, where they won outright as a 4.5-point underdog. Meanwhile, Dallas was defeated 87-81 at home by Los Angeles on Saturday, losing outright as a four-point favorite. Historically, the Wings have dominated the series, holding an 8-2 advantage over the last 10 meetings, including a 79-76 home win in their first matchup this season on May 3.

Preview of Fever vs Wings AI Predictions

The Indiana Fever and Dallas Wings meet Wednesday in WNBA action at the College Park Center. Our AI Picks have you covered for this game + many more

Fever Preview

Indiana secured their second consecutive win and fourth in the last six games by defeating the Lynx on the road Sunday. Entering Tuesday, the Fever were third in the Eastern Conference with an 11-14 record, trailing the Liberty by 9.5 games for the top spot. They were seventh in the playoff race, standing three games ahead of Atlanta to stay in the postseason mix.

Against Minnesota, Indiana led by one after the first quarter, fell behind by as many as seven in the second quarter, and were tied at halftime. The Fever trailed by seven after three quarters but outscored the Lynx 28-14 in the final period to secure the win. Indiana shot 44.3% from the field, including eight of 29 from three-point range, while holding Minnesota to 38.6% shooting. Kelsey Mitchell led four Fever players in double figures with 21 points.

The Fever rank fifth in the league in scoring offense, averaging 81.3 points per game. They are eighth in rebounding, with 34.3 boards per contest, and seventh in assists, averaging 20 per game. Defensively, Indiana is 11th, allowing 86.7 points per game. Kelsey Mitchell, averaging 17.1 points per game, is one of four Fever players scoring in double figures, along with Caitlin Clark (16.8 points, 5.8 rebounds, 7.8 assists), Aliyah Boston (13.7 points, 8.8 rebounds), and NaLyssa Smith (11.6 points, 7.6 rebounds).

Other contributors include Temi Fagbenle, Kristy Wallace, Katie Lou Samuelsson, Erica Wheeler, Grace Berger, Lexie Hull, Celeste Taylor, and Victaria Saxton. Indiana is third in field goal percentage at 44.5%, sixth in threes per game (8.4), and tied for fifth in three-point shooting percentage (33.4%). They are also tied for seventh in free throw shooting, hitting 77.1% of their attempts.

Fagbenle has missed the last four games due to a thumb injury. Keep an eye out for updates on her status before the game. For have full in-depth previews +  more AI Picks.

Wings Preview

The Dallas Wings have been struggling this season and recently suffered an 87-81 home loss to the Los Angeles Sparks. Despite shooting well, with a field goal percentage of 43.7% (31-of-71) and hitting 31.3% (5-of-16) from three-point range, they only made 18 trips to the free-throw line.

Guard Odyssey Sims was a standout performer, recording 23 points, five rebounds, five assists, and one block in 39 minutes. However, defensively, the Wings faltered, allowing the Sparks to shoot 50.0% from the field, 42.9% from beyond the arc, and 78.6% from the free-throw line.

Offensively, the Dallas Wings rank sixth in the WNBA, averaging 81.1 points per game. They are fourth in overall shooting percentage at 44.2%, but only 10th in three-point shooting at 31.1%. Defensively, the Wings have been poor, ranking last in the league by allowing 89.6 points per game.

They also have the worst opposing shooting percentage at 46.8%. Improving their defensive performance is crucial for the Wings if they hope to win more games.

How I Use Rithmm Models for my Dream vs Storm AI Prediction

With Rithmm’s AI Picks model you are able to dive deep into just about any trend you can think of, below is just a snap shot of what I pulled for todays game.

Team Performance:

• The Indiana Fever have won two straight games and four of their last six, improving their playoff position.
• The Dallas Wings are struggling, having lost their last game against the Los Angeles Sparks.

Head-to-Head:

• The Wings hold an 8-2 advantage over the Fever in their last 10 meetings, including a close 79-76 win earlier this season.

Offensive and Defensive Stats:

• The Fever are 5th in the league in scoring, averaging 81.3 points per game, but rank 11th in defense, allowing 86.7 points per game.
• The Wings are 6th in scoring with 81.1 points per game but are last in defense, giving up 89.6 points per game.

Betting Trends:

• The Fever are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games.
• The Wings are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games at home.
• The total has gone OVER in 4 of the Fever's last 5 games.
• The total has gone OVER in 6 of the Wings' last 8 games.

My Wings vs Fever AI Prediction

Dallas has struggled defensively this season, exacerbated by injuries. Howard has only played in 12 of the team's 24 games, and Sabally hasn't played at all. Sims, a recent addition to the rotation, didn't play until June 27, and Siegrist has missed 11 games.

This has resulted in a disorganized and chaotic system for the Wings, contributing to their struggles. Conversely, Indiana continues to improve and is on track to surpass their highest win total in the last four years. The Fever recently beat a tough Minnesota team on the road and should be able to handle a struggling Dallas squad.

Selection: Fever ML -180

If you’re looking for more Rithmms’ AI WNBA Picks can check them out here.

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