Florida State vs Duke: AI Predictions - College Football NCAAF

It's Friday night lights in Durham, NC, as the Seminoles visit the Blue Devils. In this AI Sports Prediction, learn how I leverage the power of AI and predictive models to make my sports wagering decision.

Preview of Florida State vs Duke AI Picks

FSU entered the season as the 10th-ranked team in the country but quickly dropped from the rankings as they opened the season 0-3.

Things have remained the same since the slow start, with a record of 1-5.

Duke was voted to finish 11th in the ACC for multiple reasons.

Head Coach Mike Elko left for Texas A&M
QB Riley Leonard transferred to Notre Dame

Instead of crying into their cheerios Duke hired Coach Manny Diaz and brought in QB Malik Murphy. These two decisions have led Duke to a 5-1 record, one win away from a bowl game.

Read how this AI-Powered CFB Prediction uses artificial intelligence and predictive models to guide my sports wagering decision.

FSU Preview

Coach Mike Norvell is in the hot seat after winning 12 games last year. His squad was voted to repeat as ACC champions, but now they are in jeopardy of not making a bowl game.

QB DJ Uiagalelei was a prized transfer but is having his worst year as a starter.

Career low 53.8% completion percentage
Six interceptions versus only four touchdown passes
-8 rushing yards

The Seminoles are 22-0 all-time against the Blue Devils. For the streak to continue, Uigalaelie must have his best game of the season.

Duke Preview

Duke’s transfer quarterback has worked out much better.

Malik Murphy was a four-star recruit for Texas but thanks to a crowded QB room he found his way to Duke. Murphy has thrown for over 200 yards in each game and has had three games of three TD passes.

The transfer portal also brought Duke RB Star Thomas. The senior transfer from New Mexico State is having a career year.

Career high 113 carries
4.7 yards per carry
4 total touchdowns (3 rushing, 1 receiving)

The duo of Murphy and Thomas are a factor in my Florida State vs Duke AI Wagering Prediction.

How I use Rithmm models for Florida State vs Duke AI Prediction

Rithmm utilizes predictive models powered by AI to produce game predictions. MIT graduates combined their knowledge of predictive analytics with a love of sports to create a top-notch betting tool.

Rithmm allows users to customize up to three models or you can have the data scientists do their thing and they will build them for you.

Below are the factors that go into Rithmm’s AI-powered predictions.

Rithmm provides users with models but also stats, trends, and rankings.

With a premium subscription, users are given access to odds from multiple sports books making line shopping that much easier..

Current odds:

Duke -3
Total: 42.5

Florida State Break Down

14.8 points scored per game
25.3 points allowed per game
4.5 yards gained per play
5.8 yards allowed per play

Duke Break Down

26.3 points scored per game
17.5 points allowed per game
5.3 yards gained per play
4.3 yards allowed per play

Statistically, Duke has the edge over FSU, but after digging through Duke’s opponents, it's a case of fool's gold.

Duke’s opponents combined record: 18-21
FSU’s opponents combined record: 26-10

Rithmm recently rolled out research tools, I want to introduce Win Rank ⬇️

Duke’s win rate: 102

FSU’s win rate: 103.3

My two most important factors for this FSU vs Duke AI Sports Wagering Prediction are Duke’s opponents' combined record and Rithmm’s win rating.

Based on FSU’s harder schedule and Rithmm’s win rating I’m leaning towards backing FSU.

Let's check out my Rithmm models to see their AI Sports Prediction.

For more information on how the models work click here.

Using Rithmm Models to Solidify My Prediction for Florida State vs Duke

Rithmm provides predictive outcomes for the following wager types:

Spread
Moneyline
Total

As stated above I’m leaning towards FSU +3.

All three models have Florida State covering the three points!