The Golden State Warriors head to Houston to face the Rockets in a matchup that has delivered fireworks in the past. With both teams ranking high in scoring efficiency and coming off recent over results, this game projects to be another shootout. Below are our Warriors vs Rockets predictions and picks, including model projections, betting trends, and the best odds to bet the total.

Preview of Warriors vs Rockets Prediction

The total for this one opened at 212.5, and it could be a bit short based on recent team performances. Golden State continues to push the pace, while Houston’s offense has been more explosive at home.

Model Score Prediction:
Rockets 108.9, Warriors 107.2
Total: 216.1

Our Warriors vs Rockets best bets are leaning toward the over, with both teams projected to combine for just over the listed total. The model gives the over a 57.8 percent win probability, making it one of our top Warriors vs Rockets picks.

Who is Favored to Win Warriors vs Rockets?

The model favors the Rockets by a slim margin, projecting them to win 108.9 to 107.2. While most betting markets have this as a near pick'em or slight edge to Golden State, our Warriors vs Rockets predictions back Houston slightly, but the better value lies in the total market.

Injury Reports for Warriors vs Rockets

Warriors Injuries: None reported

Rockets Injuries:
Jae’Sean Tate (Ankle) – Out

The Rockets are nearly at full strength, and the Warriors are also healthy entering this matchup. With both rotations mostly intact, scoring should be strong.

Warriors vs Rockets Betting Trends

Over/Under Record (Last 5 Games):
Warriors: 2-3 O/U
Rockets: 4-1 O/U

Home/Away O/U Splits:
Warriors Away: 1-1 O/U
Rockets Home: 2-0 O/U

Team Scoring Trends (Avg Points Per Game):
Warriors: 116.0 PPG
Rockets: 113.8 PPG

The Rockets have been trending over-heavy at home, while the Warriors’ offensive output on the road helps drive totals higher. Houston has cleared the total in 4 of their last 5 games.

Model Used for Warriors vs Rockets Best Bets

This total projection is driven by a pre-built NBA model that factors in scoring efficiency, tempo, adjusted team strength, and player availability. With a projected total of 216.1 and an implied probability of 57.8%, our model recommends backing the over for one of our top Warriors vs Rockets best bets.

Best Odds for Warriors vs Rockets

The best price on over 212.5 is currently at DraftKings (-108), with most other sportsbooks listing the total at 212.5 with heavier juice or a full point higher.

Warriors vs Rockets best odds for the over:

DraftKings: Over 212.5 (-108)

My Pick for Warriors vs Rockets

Pick: Over 212.5 (-108 at DraftKings)

With both teams capable of putting up points in bunches and recent form supporting the over, the best bet for this Warriors vs Rockets matchup is on the total. DraftKings offers the best value with a playable number and minimal juice. This is a strong total bet based on both model confidence and trends.

Explore More Warriors vs Rockets Prediction

Looking for more AI-powered predictions? Check out:

• AI Sports Betting insights for smarter decision-making.
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• Computer NBA Picks for expert computer-driven predictions.
• NBA PrizePicks for AI PrizePick predictions.
• AI NBA Player Props for deeper in-game data

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