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Warriors vs Grizzlies: Predictions, Picks, & Best Bets - NBA

Warriors vs Grizzlies Predictions and Best Bets

April 1, 2025

The Golden State Warriors head to Memphis to take on the Grizzlies in a battle between two struggling teams looking to snap out of recent slumps. Both teams have posted just one win against the spread (ATS) in their last five games and are desperate for a turnaround. In this article, we’ll dive into the Warriors vs Grizzlies predictions using Rithmm’s AI-powered betting model and real-time insights.

Preview of Warriors vs Grizzlies Prediction

The Warriors and Grizzlies are both 1-4 ATS over their last five matchups, with each team failing to meet expectations. Golden State is just 1-3 ATS on the road, and Memphis is 0-2 ATS at home. Offensively, Golden State has had more consistency, but the Grizzlies are getting a boost from the spread in this one.

When reviewing Warriors vs Grizzlies picks, the edge goes to Memphis covering at home, despite their cold streak, thanks to the generous spread and the tight model projection.

Who is Favored to Win Warriors vs Grizzlies?

Golden State is the projected winner in Rithmm’s model, which forecasts a 120.6 to 115.5 final in favor of the Warriors. Despite their recent ATS struggles, the Warriors have been the stronger offensive unit, and that gives them the favorite status heading into this matchup.

  • Warriors are 1-4 ATS in their last five games.
  • Grizzlies are 1-4 ATS in their last five games.
  • Warriors are 1-3 ATS on the road.
  • Grizzlies are 0-2 ATS at home.
  • Warriors are 1-4 ATS as a favorite.
  • Grizzlies are 0-3 ATS as an underdog.

These trends help inform the Warriors vs Grizzlies predictions and reveal the value in backing the underdog.

Model Used for Warriors vs Grizzlies Best Bet

Rithmm’s AI model predicts a final score of:Warriors 120.6 – Grizzlies 115.5

The model recommends taking Grizzlies +5.5, which holds a 56.9% win probability. When identifying Warriors vs Grizzlies best bets, the spread offers the most value in a close, unpredictable game.

What Chance Does Memphis Have of Beating Golden State?

While the Grizzlies have just a 43% chance to win outright according to the model, their probability of covering the spread (+5.5) is much stronger at nearly 57%. Memphis hasn’t been sharp ATS, but they remain competitive enough to keep it close.

My Pick for Warriors vs Grizzlies

After reviewing Warriors vs Grizzlies predictions, picks, and model insights, the best move is to back Memphis with the points. Both teams have been shaky ATS, but the model gives the Grizzlies a strong chance to cover in front of the home crowd.

Best Bet: Grizzlies +5.5

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This AI sports betting analysis is just a glimpse of what you can expect when using Rithmm. Whether you’re looking to refine your betting strategy or want to explore in-depth data trends, Rithmm's AI tools for sports betting has all you need. Don't miss out on making more informed decisions—download the Rithmm app today for full access to our AI basketball predictions, NBA Computer Picks, AI Player Props, and custom sports betting models.

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