The Golden State Warriors take on the New Orleans Pelicans in a Western Conference clash that’s drawing attention from bettors, not just fans. Despite the Warriors' explosive offensive ceiling, their recent struggles ATS make them a risky favorite. Meanwhile, the Pelicans look to defend home court and cover a large spread as underdogs. In this article, we’ll break down the Warriors vs Pelicans predictions using Rithmm’s AI-powered model.

Preview of Warriors vs Pelicans Prediction

Golden State has not been kind to spread bettors recently, going 1-4 ATS in their last five games and 0-4 as a favorite. Their defense has slipped, and although Steph Curry continues to score at an elite level, it hasn’t translated into ATS wins. New Orleans, by contrast, has covered three of their last five and has played well enough to stay competitive against top teams. The Pelicans are 2-2 ATS as underdogs and 1-1 at home.

When evaluating Warriors vs Pelicans picks, the trends point toward fading the Warriors’ inflated spreads, especially on the road.

Who is Favored to Win Warriors vs Pelicans?

Golden State is favored, but Rithmm’s model gives them a win by a projected margin of 119.9 to 106.1—a 13.8-point spread. That’s close to the current line of -14.5, and while Golden State is still expected to win, it may be by a narrower margin than the market suggests.

Warriors vs Pelicans History and Betting Trends

• Warriors are 1-4 ATS in their last five games
• Pelicans are 3-2 ATS in their last five games
• Warriors are 0-2 ATS on the road
• Pelicans are 1-1 ATS at home
• Warriors are 0-4 ATS as favorites
• Pelicans are 2-2 ATS as underdogs

These key trends help shape the Warriors vs Pelicans predictions and highlight where the value may lie.

Model Used for Warriors vs Pelicans Best Bet

Rithmm’s AI model projects the final score as:
Warriors 119.9 – Pelicans 106.1

Given the current spread of Pelicans +14.5, the model recommends backing New Orleans to cover with a 54.9% win probability. These Warriors vs Pelicans best bets point to value in siding with the underdog to keep it closer than expected.

What Chance Do the Pelicans Have of Beating the Warriors?

While Golden State is a clear favorite to win, the Pelicans have enough scoring talent to hang around. Rithmm’s model doesn’t expect an outright upset, but the spread provides plenty of wiggle room for a cover—especially with the Warriors’ ongoing ATS issues.

My Pick for Warriors vs Pelicans

After reviewing Warriors vs Pelicans predictions, picks, and model insights, the play is clear: take the points. Golden State may win, but asking them to cover over two touchdowns’ worth of points is a big ask given recent trends.

Best Bet: Pelicans +14.5

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Looking for more AI-powered predictions? Check out:

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