NCAAF

Illinois vs Penn State: AI Predictions

September 27, 2024

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Two of the Big Ten’s six undefeated teams do battle in Happy Valley Saturday night.  Read how predictive models and the power of AI are used to make my AI Sports Betting Prediction.  

Preview of Illinois  vs Penn State AI Predictions 

Illinois is undefeated against ranked teams this year. Already beating Kansas (#19 at the time) and Nebraska (#22 at the time) they look to make Penn State their latest victim. 

Illinois' early season schedule is a key to this Illinois vs Penn State AI prediction. 

The Nittany Lions of Penn State have started 3-0 and look to defend Happy Valley on Saturday. With their eyes on the college football playoff, this game represents a chance to add to their resume. 

Who will be victorious in this clash of undefeateds?  Find out in this AI-Powered College Football Prediction

Illinois Preview

The fighting Illini have been one of the hottest teams in the country. Entering the season unranked they have risen to number 19 in the AP Top 25. 

Illinois has received stellar play from Junior QB Luke Altmyer. Altmyer stat line has been impressive. 

  • 862 passing yards
  • 10 touchdowns 
  • Zero interceptions 
  • 73.8 QBR 

Last year in nine games, Altmyer only had 13 touchdown passes and racked up 10 interceptions. His improvement is noticeable. 

The Illinois defense deserves half the credit for their team’s undefeated start. Currently, a top twenty-scoring defense allowing only 12.5 points per game. 

Xavier Scott is having an outstanding year for the Illini defense. He has collected a team-high three interceptions to go with one forced fumble. 

The complementary football the Illini plays is a factor in my U of I vs PSU AI wagering prediction. 

Penn State Preview

Coach James Franklin has his squad off to another fast start. PSU is starting off 3-0 for the fourth straight season. 

QB Drew Allar is in his second year as the PSU starting QB. The Junior from Median, OH threw for a season-high 309 yards last week against Kent State as the Lions won by a score of 56-0. 

Unlike Illinois, this will be Penn State’s first-ranked opponent. Their hardest matchup was at West Virginia to open the season. 

Penn State’s weaker strength of schedule compared to Illinois is a factor in my ILL vs PSU AI prediction. 

How I use Rithmm models for my Illinois vs Penn State AI Prediction

Rithmm has compiled a crack team of data scientists to produce a top-rated product. Fueled by predictive models formed by MIT-educated visionaries who have harnessed the power of AI to help their users bet smarter, not harder. 

Rithmm allows users to customize a minimum of three models. For this matchup, I will be using a model provided by Rithmm. It currently is 3-0 on spread plays. Spoiler alert I will be making a play on the spread. 

Here are the factors that the model utilizes for its prediction ⬇️

For this football season, Rithmm added a new feature. They now provide stats and trends. Let's look at how these teams have been ATS over their last five games. 

Both teams are 3-2 to the number over their last five matchups. But Illinois is 1-0 ATS on the road and 2-0 as a dog. Versus Penn State which is 1-2 ATS at home and 3-2 ATS as a favorite. 

Using Rithmm Models to Solidify My Prediction for Illinois vs Penn State

Currently, Penn State is favored by 18 points. 18 points is a lot! 

This line almost seems disrespectful to Illinois and an overreaction to PSU beating Kent State 56-0. 

Illinois is coming off an overtime victory at Nebraska and I think they are live to win outright this week. 

Let's see what my model has to say about the situation. 

This model predicts, with a 73.8% probability, that the Nittany Lions will beat the Fighting Illini by less than nine points. 

For more on how the models work click here

My Illinois vs Penn State AI Prediction 

For my official Illinois vs Penn State AI prediction I’m backing the Fighting Illini and taking Illinois +19.5. 

I hope you enjoy your Saturday of college football and always gamble responsibly

Make your own Predictions with your free Rithmm trial

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