NCAAF

Iowa vs Washington: AI Predictions

October 10, 2024

Table of Contents

The Washington Huskies are 4-2 (2-1) this season after a 27-17 victory over Michigan last week. Despite trailing 17-14 in the fourth quarter, Washington rallied to score the final 13 points and secure the win.

The Iowa Hawkeyes are 3-2 (1-1) this season after a 35-7 loss to Ohio State in their most recent game. Iowa was down just 7-0 at halftime but then allowed 28 consecutive points in the second half. They were outgained 412-226, lost the turnover battle 3-2, and converted 5 of 12 third downs. Cade McNamara threw for 98 yards and one interception, while Kaleb Johnson rushed for 86 yards and a touchdown.

Preview of Iowa vs Washington AI Predictions

Our AI Picks have you covered for this game + many more

Washington Preview 

The Huskies outgained Michigan 429-287, won the turnover battle 2-1, and converted 5 of 11 third downs. Quarterback Will Rogers threw for 271 yards, two touchdowns, and one interception, while Jonah Coleman added 80 rushing yards and a touchdown.

Washington’s other victories have come against Weber State, Eastern Michigan, and Northwestern, with losses to Washington State and Rutgers. Offensively, the Huskies are averaging 25.5 points per game, with 299.3 passing yards and 163.3 rushing yards per game. Defensively, they’ve allowed an average of 13.2 points per game. They’ve converted on 38.8% of their third downs and are 3 for 8 on fourth downs this season. Rogers has completed 73.6% of his passes for 1,625 yards, 12 touchdowns, and one interception, while Coleman has rushed for 601 yards and five touchdowns. 

Iowa Preview 

In addition to their loss to Ohio State, Iowa also fell to Iowa State earlier this season but has secured wins over Illinois State, Troy, and Minnesota. The Hawkeyes' offense is averaging 27 points per game, with 140 passing yards and 223.4 rushing yards per game, while their defense is allowing 18 points per game. They have converted 44.4% of their third downs but are 0 for 3 on fourth downs so far. McNamara has completed 63.9% of his passes for 686 yards, three touchdowns, and three interceptions, while Johnson has rushed for 771 yards and 10 touchdowns. 

How I Use Rithmm Models for of Iowa vs Washington State AI Prediction:

With Rithmm’s AI Picks model you are able to dive deep into just about any trend you can think of, below is just a snap shot of what I pulled for todays game. 

 Betting Trends:

  • Iowa has struggled against the spread (ATS) this season, currently holding a 1-5 record. In contrast, Washington is 3-3 ATS, indicating they have been more consistent in covering the spread this year​

Offensive and Defensive Metrics: 

  • Washington’s defense has been particularly strong, allowing just 15.2 points per game, ranking them highly in the nation. They are especially tough against the pass, which could pose challenges for Iowa’s passing game. Conversely, Iowa has relied heavily on their ground game, which matches up against Washington's solid rushing defense. On the offensive side, Washington’s quarterback Will Rogers has been effective, with 12 touchdown passes and a high completion rate​

Recent Performance: 

  • Washington enters the game with momentum after a strong win against Michigan, while Iowa is coming off a tough loss to Ohio State, where they struggled offensively and were outscored heavily in the second half. This could impact Iowa’s confidence going into this game​

Odds and Spread: 

  • The game is projected to be close, with Iowa slightly favored by 2.5 points. The over/under is around 41 points, suggesting that a low-scoring game is expected, which aligns with both teams’ defensive strengths​

My Iowa vs Washington AI Prediction

Washington enters this game fresh off a solid win over Michigan last week, but they now face a tough road test against a very physical Iowa team. Iowa should have some confidence after keeping it close with Ohio State through the first half last week. I  anticipate that their ground game will be a key factor, with Kaleb Johnson likely to surpass 100 rushing yards. The Hawkeyes have a strong defense and a fairly reliable offense this season, which could make it challenging for Washington to move the ball effectively. I like Iowa to secure the win in this matchup.

Selection: Iowa ML 

If you’re looking for more Rithmms’ AI Picks you can check them out here.

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