Jets vs Bills: MNF Predictions

Welcome to Week 6 of Monday Night Football! This week, the Bills travel south to East Rutherford, NJ to take on the New York Jets at MetLife Field

We'll be breaking down the game preview, our Rithmm model for this matchup, and my prediction for this game, so let's get into our Jets vs Bills MNF Predictions for Week 6.

Jets vs Bills MNF Preview

The matchup between these two teams never seems to turn out the way we thought it would.

In 2023, new Jets' QB Aaron Rodgers unceremoniously ruptured his Achilles tendon only four snaps into the season on their opening night, ad months later, the Bills beat the snot out of the Jets, 32-6.

This season, both teams feel very different. Gone are WR Stefon Diggs and QB Zach Wilson, Rodgers has returned, the Bills have a WR-by-committee situation, and the Jets just fired HC Robert Saleh.

I think things should favor the Jets a little bit here. The Bills are on an uncomfortable two game losing streak after being manhandled by the Ravens and the Texans, whereas the Jets should get a little boost from their new coaching situation. Will new offensive play caller Todd Downing, taking the reins from continual joke Nathaniel Hackett, be able to find a rhythm?

That feeds right into my Rithmm custom sports betting model that I built for this game.

Jets vs Bills Monday Night Football Rithmm Model

Building NFL models using Rithmm's technology is super easy! All you need to do is go into the Rithmm website or app, click on the models tab under NFL, and either click 'Build a Model For Me' or 'Personalize a Model'. The first option will auto-generate a model for you using our AI simulations and backtesting to determine what works.

After clicking 'Personalize a Model', you can build your model, either by utilizing the pre-made factors, or if you have Rithmm Premium, you can build your own custom factors using any variety of our numerous research analytics. Once that model has finishing its "training" and you name it, you're ready to track some NFL bets!

For a complete look, check out how to build a Rithmm NFL prediction model.

This is a model that I put together specifically to target totals in games. As you can see, the backtesting is immensely accurate from a betting perspective when it comes to game totals, with a near-70% success rating.

Jets vs Bills MNF Game Prediction

It’s time to see my game prediction for Week 6 MNF. We’re going to go into my prediction that is based on my custom Rithmm model, and why I think it's a good choice.

If you want to see the full predictions for this game, including our recommended player props, make sure you sign up for your FREE seven-day trial of Rithmm by clicking at the bottom of the page!

MNF Game Prediction for Bills @ Jets

Pick: Over 41 Points (-110)

Win Probability: 60.9%

DTM: 16.2%

A little interesting, considering that tonight's game is expected to be breezy, with gusts of up to 27 mph, but not something I'm very worried about. Both defenses are run-funnel defenses, meaning that teams get into run-heavy scripts against them.

Aaron Rodger has played in windy conditions his entire career, having come from Green Bay, so I'm confident this will not affect him.

Both defenses have also struggled to contain the middle of the field at times, so crossers could lead to points here. Our Rithmm model predicts 44.6 points in this game, so we could definitely see some points on a nice fall night for this AFC East matchup.

Closing Remarks on Jets vs Bills MNF Predictions

With this MNF game kicking off the 2024-25 NFL season, I think we're in store for a fantastic year, and if you follow all of Rithmm's insights and tools, you will be too.

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