Jets vs Texans: NFL Predictions - TNF

Last week on Thursday Night Football, the Los Angeles Rams got a boost from returning star WRs Puka Nacua and Cooper Kupp, defeating the Minnesota Vikings to stay in the NFC West race.

This week, it's a battle in the AFC, where the Houston Texans take on the New York Jets at the Meadowlands.

We'll be breaking down the game preview, our Rithmm model for this matchup, and my prediction for this game, so let's get into our Jets vs Texans TNF Predictions for Week 9.

Jets vs Texans TNF Preview

This could go one of two ways. Either CJ Stroud and Aaron Rodgers remind us of the otherworldly quarterback talents that they are and we get another entertaining and offense-boosted TNF spectacle, or we get a boring, ugly, monotonous mess due to the Texans missing their top two wide receivers and the Jets being, well, the Jets.

Realistically, there are a lot of things pushing the Jets' way here, so it's understandable to see them favored, despite being a 2-6 team that has seemingly gotten worse despite the firing of HC Robert Saleh as well as the acquisition of Rodgers acolyte Davante Adams.

The Texans desperately need a win here. Despite winning four of their last five, the Texans are precariously perched on the edge of being good and being lucky. Stroud has been less exemplary than his rookie season, and the losses of Nico Collins and now Stefon Diggs are certainly felt.

That feeds right into my Rithmm custom sports betting model that I built for this game.

Jets vs Texans Thursday Night Football Rithmm Model

Building NFL models using Rithmm's technology is super easy! All you need to do is go into the Rithmm website or app, click on the models tab under NFL, and either click 'Build a Model For Me' or 'Personalize a Model'. The first option will auto-generate a model for you using our AI simulations and backtesting to determine what works.

After clicking 'Personalize a Model', you can build your model, either by utilizing the pre-made factors, or if you have Rithmm Premium, you can build your own custom factors using any variety of our numerous research analytics. Once that model has finishing its "training" and you name it, you're ready to track some NFL bets!

For a complete look, check out how to build a Rithmm NFL prediction model.

This is a model that I put together specifically to target totals in games. As you can see, the backtesting is immensely accurate from a betting perspective when it comes to game totals, with a near-70% success rating.

Jets vs Texans TNF Game Prediction

It’s time to see my game prediction for Week 9 TNF. We’re going to go into my prediction that is based on my custom Rithmm model, and why I think it's a good choice.

If you want to see the full predictions for this game, including our recommended player props, make sure you sign up for your FREE seven-day trial of Rithmm by clicking at the bottom of the page!

TNF Game Prediction for Texans @ Jets

Pick: Over 42 (-110)

Win Probability: 57.8%

DTM: 5.8%‍

Even if both offenses are a bit of a mess as of late, I'm more intrigued by the two defenses in this matchup. The Jets, who have one of the more feared defenses in the league, have shown some cracks. They've allowed at least 23 points in each of their last four, and even if they don't fear Stroud without his weapons, now face a Texans team that has one of the most dangerous running backs in Joe Mixon.

I also think the Texans are vulnerable, this time through the air. They have given up the most downfield passing attempts this season with nearly 50, and despite ranking much better in success rate versus the deep ball, defending Rodgers' deep shots is different then most QB's. I think this game sneaks over with a last minute Jets' drive down the field.

Closing Remarks on Jets vs Texans TNF Predictions

I think we're in store for a fantastic year, and if you follow all of Rithmm's insights and tools, you will be too.

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