The Kansas City Royals meet the Cleveland Guardians in an AL Central battle between two of the league’s coldest offenses. Despite recent scoring struggles, both teams come into Friday with value on the Royals vs Guardians over/under based on projected totals. In this Royals vs Guardians prediction article, we’ll break down model picks, betting trends, injury updates, and the Royals vs Guardians best odds for April 12.

Preview of Royals vs Guardians Predictions

The Royals have been ice cold at the plate lately, but they still hold a slight edge over the Guardians. Kansas City is averaging just 1.8 runs per game over their last five, but that still tops Cleveland’s 1.0 average in that same span. When analyzing Royals vs Guardians picks, it’s clear that while both teams are trending under, the model projects some unexpected value on the over.

Who is Favored to Win Royals vs Guardians?

Oddsmakers list this game as relatively tight, but the Royals vs Guardians odds are primarily focused on the total. Rithmm’s AI MLB model predicts a 5.0 – 4.0 win for the Royals. That 9-run projection leans toward the over 7.5 total, which is one of the most attractive Royals vs Guardians best bets on the board.

Injury Reports for Royals vs Guardians

Pitching depth could be an issue for both clubs, especially with multiple bullpen arms on the injured list. That only strengthens the case for Royals vs Guardians over 7.5 as a strong play.

Royals Injuries:

• Hunter Harvey – D15 (Upper Limb)
• Alec Marsh – D15 (Shoulder)
• James McArthur – D15 (Elbow)
• Dairon Blanco – D10 (Achilles)
• Mark Canha – D10 (Hip)

Guardians Injuries:

• Sam D. Hentges – D60 (Shoulder)
• Trevor Stephan – D15 (Elbow)
• David Fry – D60 (Elbow)
• Shane Bieber – D15 (Elbow)
• Alexander Cobb – D15 (Hip)
• Slade Cecconi – D15 (Oblique)
• Erik Sabrowski – D15 (Elbow)

Royals vs Guardians Trends and Betting History

Royals Trends:

• 1-4 Over/Under in last 5 games
• 1-0 O/U on the road
• 1-1 O/U as underdogs
• Averaging just 1.8 runs per game

Guardians Trends:

• 1-4 Over/Under in last 5 games
• 1-3 O/U at home
• 1-3 O/U as favorites
• Averaging only 1.0 run per game

These recent stats help paint a picture of two cold lineups, but also indicate the potential for regression. And in betting, that regression can mean Royals vs Guardians picks that go against public perception.

Model Used for Royals vs Guardians Best Bets

Rithmm’s AI-generated MLB model projects:

Royals 5.0 – Guardians 4.0

That 9-run projection is well above the current market total of 7.5 runs. With a 60.7% win probability on the over and odds of -110, the model is clearly favoring the Royals vs Guardians over/under pick on the over.

What Chance Does the Over Have of Hitting?

Based on both model projections and the assumption that these bats can’t stay this cold forever, the Royals vs Guardians over/under play has sharp value. The AI suggests a clear edge despite poor recent scoring.

This aligns with our Royals vs Guardians predictions, and bettors should always be ready to zig when the market zags.

Best Odds for Royals vs Guardians

Shopping the best line for your bet is crucial in a tight market like this. Here are the current best Royals vs Guardians odds on the total:

• SugarHouseNJ: Over 7.5 (+100) ✅ Best odds
• DraftKings: Over 7.5 (-108)
• Bet365NewJersey: Over 7.5 (-105)
• MGM: Over 7.5 (-115)
• FanDuel: Over 7.5 (-110)
• PointsBet: Over 7.5 (-111)

To get the best value on your bet, lock in Over 7.5 (+100) at SugarHouseNJ before it moves.

My Pick for Royals vs Guardians

Don’t let the recent scoring drought scare you off. The Royals vs Guardians prediction model is projecting a total that flies over 7.5, and both pitching staffs are banged up. The market hasn’t adjusted enough, and that opens up a window of opportunity.

Best Bet: Over 7.5 (+100)

Explore More Royals vs Guardians Prediction

Looking for more AI-powered predictions? Check out:

• AI Sports Betting insights for smarter decision-making.
• MLB AI Sports Predictions for advanced game insights.
• Computer MLB Picks for expert computer-driven predictions.
• MLB PrizePicks for AI PrizePick predictions.
• AI MLB Player Props for deeper in-game data

This AI sports betting analysis is just a glimpse of what you can expect when using Rithmm. Whether you’re looking to refine your betting strategy or want to explore in-depth data trends, Rithmm's AI tools for sports betting has all you need. Don't miss out on making more informed decisions—download the Rithmm app today for full access to our AI baseball predictions, MLB Computer Picks, AI Player Props, and custom sports betting models.