
The New York Yankees host the Kansas City Royals in an AL clash at Yankee Stadium, with both teams looking to continue their strong over trends. While the Royals have struggled to generate consistent offense, the Yankees’ bats have carried the load, especially at home. In this Royals vs Yankees predictions article, we’ll break down betting trends, injury reports, model picks, and the best odds available for tonight’s game.
New York is riding a hot streak when it comes to the over, especially at home. The Yankees have gone over the total in three of their last five games and are averaging 4.4 runs per game. Kansas City, despite averaging just 2.6 runs per game over that same span, has seen totals creep over in two of their last three away contests. With both teams projected to contribute on the scoreboard, this sets up as one of the top Royals vs Yankees picks for tonight’s slate.
According to Rithmm’s AI MLB model, the Yankees are expected to win 5.5 to 4.5, bringing the projected total to 10 runs. That’s a full run over the posted line, offering strong value on the over. Based on this model, betting the over 9.0 is one of the most confident Royals vs Yankees best bets tonight.
Both lineups are missing some key names, but the Yankees have proven they can score even with injuries. That reinforces the upside on the total.
Royals Injuries:

Yankees Injuries:


These trends lean heavily toward the over, particularly when the Yankees are at home and listed as favorites.

The Rithmm pre-built MLB model predicts:
This play is labeled as a recommended bet by the AI model and aligns with recent team scoring trends.
The model gives a 60.9% chance of this game going over 9 runs, and with how strong the Yankees have been at home and the Royals showing occasional pop, the over has strong potential tonight. This fits well with our Royals vs Yankees predictions.

Line shopping is key when betting totals. Here's where to get the best price on tonight’s over:
To maximize your value, grab Over 9.0 (-102) at MGM while it’s still posted.

The Yankees are hot at the plate, and despite injuries, they’re consistently putting up runs at home. With the AI model projecting a double-digit total and favorable odds available, this game profiles as a solid over opportunity.
✅ Best Bet: Over 9.0 Total Runs (-102 at MGM)
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