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Royals vs Yankees: Predictions, Odds, & Trends

Royals vs Yankees Predictions, Odds, and Trends

April 14, 2025

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The New York Yankees host the Kansas City Royals in an AL clash at Yankee Stadium, with both teams looking to continue their strong over trends. While the Royals have struggled to generate consistent offense, the Yankees’ bats have carried the load, especially at home. In this Royals vs Yankees predictions article, we’ll break down betting trends, injury reports, model picks, and the best odds available for tonight’s game.

Preview of Royals vs Yankees Predictions

New York is riding a hot streak when it comes to the over, especially at home. The Yankees have gone over the total in three of their last five games and are averaging 4.4 runs per game. Kansas City, despite averaging just 2.6 runs per game over that same span, has seen totals creep over in two of their last three away contests. With both teams projected to contribute on the scoreboard, this sets up as one of the top Royals vs Yankees picks for tonight’s slate.

Who is Favored to Win Royals vs Yankees?

According to Rithmm’s AI MLB model, the Yankees are expected to win 5.5 to 4.5, bringing the projected total to 10 runs. That’s a full run over the posted line, offering strong value on the over. Based on this model, betting the over 9.0 is one of the most confident Royals vs Yankees best bets tonight.

Injury Reports for Royals vs Yankees

Both lineups are missing some key names, but the Yankees have proven they can score even with injuries. That reinforces the upside on the total.

Royals Injuries:

  • Hunter Harvey (D15 – Upper Limb)
  • Samuel Long (D15 – Elbow)
  • Alec Marsh (D15 – Shoulder)
  • Jonathan India (Day-to-Day – Quad)
  • James McArthur (D15 – Elbow)
  • Dairon Blanco (D10 – Achilles)
  • Mark Canha (D10 – Hip)

Yankees Injuries:

  • Jonathan Loáisiga (D15 – Elbow)
  • Scott Effross (D15 – Hamstring)
  • Clarke Schmidt (D15 – Rotator Cuff)
  • Giancarlo Stanton (D10 – Elbow)
  • Marcus Stroman (D15 – Knee)
  • Luis Gil (D60 – Back)
  • David LeMahieu (D10 – Calf)
  • Jonathan Brubaker (D60 – Ribs)
  • Gerrit Cole (D60 – Elbow)
  • Clayton Beeter (D15 – Shoulder)

Royals vs Yankees Trends and Betting History

  • Royals Over/Under Record (last 5): 2-3-0
  • Yankees Over/Under Record (last 5): 3-1-1
  • Royals Away O/U Record: 2-1-0
  • Yankees Home O/U Record: 3-0-0
  • Royals as Underdog O/U Record: 2-1-0
  • Yankees as Favorite O/U Record: 3-0-1
  • Royals Avg Runs/Game: 2.6
  • Yankees Avg Runs/Game: 4.4

These trends lean heavily toward the over, particularly when the Yankees are at home and listed as favorites.

Model Used for Royals vs Yankees Best Bets

The Rithmm pre-built MLB model predicts:

  • Yankees 5.5 – Royals 4.5
  • Win Probability on Over 9.0: 60.9%
  • Odds: -105
  • Pick: Over 9.0 Total Runs

This play is labeled as a recommended bet by the AI model and aligns with recent team scoring trends.

What Chance Do Royals and Yankees Have of Hitting the Over?

The model gives a 60.9% chance of this game going over 9 runs, and with how strong the Yankees have been at home and the Royals showing occasional pop, the over has strong potential tonight. This fits well with our Royals vs Yankees predictions.

Best Odds for Royals vs Yankees

Line shopping is key when betting totals. Here's where to get the best price on tonight’s over:

  • MGM: Over 9.0 (-102) ✅ Best odds
  • DraftKings: Over 9.0 (-105)
  • Bet365: Over 9.0 (-105)
  • WilliamHillNJ: Over 9.0 (-105)
  • FanDuel: Over 9.0 (-106)
  • SugarHouseNJ: Over 9.0 (-106)
  • PointsBet: Over 9.0 (-111)

To maximize your value, grab Over 9.0 (-102) at MGM while it’s still posted.

My Pick for Royals vs Yankees

The Yankees are hot at the plate, and despite injuries, they’re consistently putting up runs at home. With the AI model projecting a double-digit total and favorable odds available, this game profiles as a solid over opportunity.

✅ Best Bet: Over 9.0 Total Runs (-102 at MGM)

Explore More Royals vs Yankees Prediction

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This AI sports betting analysis is just a glimpse of what you can expect when using Rithmm. Whether you’re looking to refine your betting strategy or want to explore in-depth data trends, Rithmm's AI tools for sports betting has all you need. Don't miss out on making more informed decisions—download the Rithmm app today for full access to our AI baseball predictions, MLB Computer Picks, AI Player Props, and custom sports betting models.

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