NCAAB

Kansas vs Iowa State: AI Prediction

January 15, 2025

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The Rithmm app uses AI to enhance your sports betting strategy by using AI-driven insights and models to enable better predictions. NCAA men’s basketball is just one of many sports that the Rithmm app offers specialized insights into. Discover how you can leverage AI to make better sports betting decisions and better strategy for the 2024-2025 NCAA men’s basketball season. In this post, I will dive into how I see Rithmm for my Kansas vs Iowa State AI prediction. 

We’ll focus on several specific insights that the Rithmm app offers including key trends, best odds, and predictions generated by the AI sports betting app. You’ll be able to see first-hand how the AI from the Rithmm app helps drive better decisions and strategy. 

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Kansas Jayhawks vs Iowa State Cyclones: AI Predictions from Custom NCAAF Models

Conference play is in full swing and the Big 12 have a number of strong teams looking to cut the nets down at the end of the season. In this one, the Kansas Jayhawks (12-3; 3-1 in conference) square off against the Iowa State Cyclones (14-1; 4-0 in conference) at 7:00pm EST on ESPN 2. Kansas, a perennial contender, looks to continue their Big 12 dominance but Iowa State has different thoughts. This is a match up of strength vs strength. Let’s dive into what the AI models say for this Kansas vs Iowa State battle. 

Preview of my Kansas vs. Iowa State Prediction

Kansas Jayhawks Preview

The Kansas Jayhawks come into this game as the 9th ranked team in the country. They are perennially a national championship contender, and this year is no different. They began the year as the number one ranked team in the nation but a three-game losing streak to Duke, Furman, and Creighton knocked them down to 10th. They continue to play a tough schedule, and this is one of the toughest games they have. 

They are led by Seniors Hunter Dickinson and Zeke Mayo. Dickinson leads the team with 15.8 points per game and controls the paint, leading the team in rebounds with 10.4 per game. He adds 2.4 assists and 1.5 blocks per game to round out his stats. Mayo, is second on the team with 14.3 points per game and he adds 4.3 rebounds and 3.2 assists as well. 

As a team, Kansas averages 77.3 points per game on 47.8 percent field goal shooting and 33.1 percent three-point percentage. They rank 127th in points per game and they surrender 62.1 points per game which is good for 14th lowest in the country. They hold opponents to a 36.8 shooting percentage which is the 6th best in the country. Their defense is their calling card this year and it shows in their tough nose play so far. 

In their last five games, the Jayhawks are 4-1 against the spread and 2-0 away from home. 

Iowa State Cyclones Preview

The Iowa State Cyclones come into this match up as the 2nd ranked team in the country. They were the preseason 5th ranked team and stayed consistently high despite one loss on the season to the, then ranked 4th, Auburn team. At 14-1and 4-0 in the conference, they have the inside track at staying atop one of the best conferences in the country. 

Iowa State is a well-balanced team. They have five players averaging double digit points per game, led by Senior Curtis Jones with 17.3 points per game. Senior Keshon Gilbert is next on the team, averaging 16.1 points per game along with 4.7 assists per game. As a team, they have eight players averaging between 15 and 30 minutes a game, highlighting their significant depth. 

As a team, the Iowa State averages 86.2 total points per game, which is good for 11th in the country, while shooting 50.1 percent from the field which is good for 10th in the country. They are giving up 65.9 points per game on 40.7 field goal percentage and 23.2 three-point percent. 

In their last five games, the Cyclones are 4-1 against the spread and 2-1 at home. 

How I Use Rithmm Models for Kansas vs Iowa State AI Prediction

My first thought is that this spread would be a tight one given the two power houses in the matchup and that one of these teams is currently ranked 2nd and the other was 1st recently. 

With Iowa State being home, I thought they would be the favorite led by a raucous home crowd. 

With my initial thoughts and research done, let’s turn to the Rithmm app and see if the models that have been created confirm my theories for my NCAAMB AI Predictions.

Let's take a look at the Rithmm AI custom betting models that I personally created with the Rithmm app.  

The first customized model that I created, “Offense/Three-Pointer/Tempo”, is a model that greatly emphasizes an offensive minded team, weighing the offense, three-point shooting, and their speed up and down the court. This model has the Iowa State -5.8 which is a slight edge towards Iowa State by just 0.3 point against the given spread. 

The next model I created for the NCAAMB season is the “Defensive” model that puts heavy emphasis on all defensive categories, lack of fouls and slower tempo. This model has the Iowa State -5.7. This model also slightly favors Iowa State, this time by just 0.2 points against the given spread. 

Lastly, the ”Pre-Built NCAAM” model that was created for me by the Rithmm app and evenly weighs all of the available categories. With offense, defense, three-pointers, fouls and tempo all relatively aligned. This model has Iowa State -5.4 which is a 0.1 point edge to Kansas. 

My Kansas vs Iowa Stats AI Prediction

Having done my own research and despite the models showcasing small edges on both sides, I am inclined to stick with my initial thoughts. I think Iowa State, fueled by the home crowd, will be able to score against Kansas’ stout defense to pull away in this one. 

All of that being said, I’m taking the Iowa State Cyclones -5.5 in the Kansas vs Iowa State match up.

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