The Los Angeles Dodgers take on the Philadelphia Phillies in what looks like a tight matchup between two surging teams against the spread. Both clubs are 4-1 ATS in their last five games, with the Phillies particularly dominant at home. In this article, we’ll break down Dodgers vs Phillies predictions using Rithmm’s MLB AI betting model and recent betting trends to uncover the best betting angle.
Philadelphia has been quietly cashing tickets at home, going 3-0 ATS in their last three games at Citizens Bank Park. While the Dodgers have been strong overall, the Phillies’ performance in their own ballpark makes this an intriguing spot for underdog bettors. When it comes to Dodgers vs Phillies picks, the edge may lie with the team getting the extra 1.5 runs in a projected close contest.
While sportsbooks favor the Dodgers on the moneyline, Rithmm’s MLB model sees this game leaning toward Philadelphia. The model predicts a Phillies 5.5 – Dodgers 4.5 win, suggesting that not only is there value on the run line, but an outright win could also be in the cards for Philadelphia. That projection plays a significant role in our Dodgers vs Phillies predictions.
These trends back the Phillies’ ability to stay within the number at home, reinforcing the logic behind today’s Dodgers vs Phillies best bets.
According to Rithmm’s MLB model:
Phillies 5.5 – Dodgers 4.5
The best bet from the model is Phillies +1.5, which has a 69.8% win probability at -149 odds. These Dodgers vs Phillies best bets offer a strong edge in what projects to be a closely contested game.
Despite being underdogs, the Phillies have momentum and home-field advantage. With a projected one-run win and sharp home ATS trends, the Phillies are an appealing underdog in this spot. These factors all point to value in taking the points in Dodgers vs Phillies picks.
Line shopping is crucial when betting the run line. Here are the best odds available for Phillies +1.5:
To maximize your value, grab the Phillies +1.5 (-130) at PointsBet while it's available.
The Phillies are playing solid baseball and have been a profitable team at home. With both the AI model and trend data leaning their way in this Dodgers vs Phillies best bet, I’m siding with Philly on the run line.
Best Bet: Phillies +1.5 (-130)
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