NCAAF

LSU vs South Carolina: AI Predictions

September 12, 2024

Table of Contents

The LSU Tigers and the South Carolina Gamecocks meet Saturday in college football action from Williams-Brice Stadium

Preview of LSU vs South Carolina State AI Predictions

Our AI Picks have you covered for this game + many more

South Carolina Preview 

The South Carolina Gamecocks are off to a strong start this season at 2-0 (1-0 in conference), following an impressive 31-6 victory over Kentucky last week. After leading 10-6 at halftime, the Gamecocks shut out the Wildcats in the second half, securing the win. South Carolina outgained Kentucky 252-183 in total yards, forced two turnovers, and converted 3 of 10 third-down attempts. Quarterback LaNorris Sellers threw for 159 yards, two touchdowns, and one interception, while Raheim Sanders contributed with 54 rushing yards and a touchdown on 13 carries. 

In their season opener, the Gamecocks edged Old Dominion 23-19 but showed noticeable improvement in their second game as they began conference play. This season, the South Carolina offense has averaged 27 points per game, with 140 passing yards and 130 rushing yards per contest. On the defensive side, they’ve allowed just 12.5 points per game. Additionally, the Gamecocks have converted 28.6% of their third downs and gone 2-for-2 on fourth down across the two games. Sellers has completed 55.3% of his passes for 273 yards, two touchdowns, and one interception so far, while Sanders has rushed for 142 yards and two touchdowns.

LSU Preview 

The LSU Tigers are 1-1 this season, following a 44-21 victory over Nicholls in their most recent game. Despite a tight score of 23-21 in the third quarter, LSU finished strong by scoring the last 21 points to secure the win. The Tigers outgained Nicholls 378-295 in total yards, forced one turnover, and converted 4 of 9 third-down attempts. Quarterback Garrett Nussmeier led the charge, throwing for 302 yards and six touchdowns, while Josh Williams added 19 rushing yards on four carries.

In their season opener, LSU suffered a narrow 27-20 loss to USC, where they held a lead entering the fourth quarter. So far this season, LSU’s offense has averaged 32 points per game, with 311 passing yards and 88.5 rushing yards per contest. Defensively, the Tigers have allowed 24 points per game. LSU has converted 40.9% of their third-down opportunities and gone 2-for-3 on fourth down. Nussmeier has been efficient, completing 75% of his passes for 610 yards, eight touchdowns, and one interception, while Kyren Lacy has caught 12 passes for 159 yards and four touchdowns.

How I Use Rithmm Models for LSU vs South Carolina AI Prediction:

With Rithmm’s AI Picks model you are able to dive deep into just about any trend you can think of, below is just a snap shot of what I pulled for todays game. 

Head-to-Head History: 

  • LSU has dominated this series historically, leading 19-2-1. The last meeting in 2020 resulted in a 52-24 win for LSU, marking the start of a rough stretch for South Carolina, which led to the firing of head coach Will Muschamp​

Recent Form: 

  • LSU is coming off a 44-21 win over Nicholls but didn’t truly pull away until the third quarter. Despite this, the Tigers are loaded with talent, including quarterback Garrett Nussmeier, who has thrown for 610 yards and eight touchdowns while completing 75% of his passes​
  • South Carolina, on the other hand, secured a key win against Kentucky last week and will look to build on that momentum. Their defense has improved, and their offense has started to show flashes of explosiveness​

Betting Trends:

  • LSU is favored by 7.5 points heading into the game, with the total set at 55.5 points. South Carolina has struggled in past matchups against LSU, but with recent improvements on both sides of the ball, they could present more of a challenge​

My LSU vs South Carolina AI Prediction

I’m leaning toward South Carolina for this matchup. The Gamecocks didn’t post stellar  offensive numbers last weekend, so they'll need a big boost on that front. In their win, South Carolina managed just 252 total yards (86 rushing), 13 first downs, and went 3-for-10 on third-down conversions. They also hurt themselves with eight penalties.

On the other hand, LSU put up 378 total yards (314 passing) and 24 first downs without any turnovers in their last victory against Nicholls. However, Nicholls found some success on the ground with 150 rushing yards and converted 6-of-13 third downs, which gives South Carolina a potential opening. 

LSU vs South Carolina - AI Prediction

Selection: South Carolina +7

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