The Memphis Grizzlies head to Miami to take on the red-hot Heat in what looks like a battle of momentum versus the model. The Heat are undefeated in their last five games, while the Grizzlies have dropped four of five. But despite those trends, Rithmm’s AI model is showing value on the underdog. In this article, we’ll break down the latest Grizzlies vs Heat predictions, including betting trends, AI picks, and best bets.

Preview of Grizzlies vs Heat Prediction

The Miami Heat enter this matchup scorching hot, going 5-0 straight up in their last five games. Meanwhile, Memphis has struggled, going just 1-4 over that same span. Yet surprisingly, the model leans toward the Grizzlies pulling off an upset. Rithmm’s AI model projects a Grizzlies 116.2 – Heat 112.9 final score, giving Memphis the edge despite what recent trends suggest.

This sharp model projection is a big reason Grizzlies vs Heat picks are tilting toward value on the Heat moneyline.

Who is Favored to Win Grizzlies vs Heat?

Oddsmakers have the Grizzlies listed as slight road favorites, but the Heat offer clear underdog value. The AI model predicts a Grizzlies win, but with the Heat moneyline sitting at +161 (or better), the odds make them worth backing.

Using this projection, there’s more value on betting Heat moneyline at plus odds than trying to back the inconsistent Grizzlies. This puts the Heat in a great position to be included in your Grizzlies vs Heat best bets for Monday night.

Grizzlies vs Heat History and Betting Trends

Memphis Grizzlies Trends:

• 1-4 W/L in last 5 games
• 1-4 W/L on the road
• 1-1 W/L as a favorite

Miami Heat Trends:

• 5-0 W/L in last 5 games
• 3-2 W/L at home
• 2-0 W/L as an underdog

The recent surge from Miami combined with Memphis’ road struggles helps paint a clear picture in this Grizzlies vs Heat prediction.

Model Used for Grizzlies vs Heat Best Bets

Rithmm’s NBA AI Model projects:

Grizzlies 116.2 – Heat 112.9

Even though the model favors Memphis to win, the best value bet lies with the Heat, who are currently available at +161 with a 39.8% win probability. If you trust the trends and the number, Heat moneyline is where the upside is.

What Chance Do the Heat Have of Beating the Grizzlies?

Despite being underdogs, the Heat are the more consistent and better-performing team over the past few games. The model still gives them a nearly 40% chance to win outright, which is solid value for a moneyline price that stretches as high as +170 at some books. With the Grizzlies struggling and the Heat surging, this game has all the signs of an upset.

My Pick for Grizzlies vs Heat

After reviewing the Grizzlies vs Heat odds, model predictions, and recent trends, the best value play is clear: Miami moneyline. The Heat are playing confident basketball, are undefeated in their last five, and they’re getting undervalued by the market.

Best Bet: Heat ML (+161)

Grizzlies vs Heat Best Odds

If you're shopping for the Grizzlies vs Heat best odds, SugarHouse NJ is currently offering the best price on the Heat at +170, which is stronger than the consensus +161. Other major books like DraftKings, PointsBet, and Bet365 all list the Heat at +160. Make sure to line shop to maximize your return on this high-upside underdog play.

Grizzlies vs Heat odds show there’s strong value on Miami—especially if you can grab the +170.

Explore More Grizzlies vs Heat Prediction

Looking for more AI-powered predictions? Check out:

• AI Sports Betting insights for smarter decision-making.
• NBA AI Sports Predictions for advanced game insights.
• Computer NBA Picks for expert computer-driven predictions.
• NBA PrizePicks for AI PrizePick predictions.
• AI NBA Player Props for deeper in-game data

Do you also bet on college basketball? Get your AI March Madness Bracket here!

This AI sports betting analysis is just a glimpse of what you can expect when using Rithmm. Whether you’re looking to refine your betting strategy or want to explore in-depth data trends, Rithmm's AI tools for sports betting has all you need. Don't miss out on making more informed decisions—download the Rithmm app today for full access to our AI basketball predictions, NBA Computer Picks, AI Player Props, and custom sports betting models.