Mercury vs Wings: AI Predictions and WNBA Bet Picks
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With one week before the WNBA All-Star game, the Phoenix Mercury welcomes the Dallas Wings. Learn how AI sports betting is used to make my prediction!
Preview of Mercury at Wings AI Prediction
This will be the third meeting of these two teams this season. Phoenix has won two in a row against Dallas after losing their first matchup this season. The Mercury looks to make it three in a row on Wednesday afternoon.
Yes I said Wednesday afternoon. This will be the Mercury’s annual camp day game.
Phoenix Mercury Preview
Phoenix returns home after a successful two game road trip. They swept the road trip with wins over Dallas and LA.
Against LA last time out they were without the WNBA’s all-time leading scorer, Diana Taurasi. Natasha Cloud stepped up in DT’s absence, scoring a career high 31 points.
Cloud, mainly known for her defense and passing, is scoring just over 12 points a game this year. That is four points higher than her career average.
It was announced Tuesday night that DT will not play for the second game in a row. DT has averaged 21 points a game this year against Dallas. Not having that offensive production will play a role in my AI betting prediction.
Let's break down my AI sports prediction for the DAL vs PHO matchup on Wednesday
Dallas Wings Preview
The Wings fell in Vegas their last time out. It was a high-tempo game with Dallas losing 104-85. Odyssey Sims led Dallas in scoring putting up a season-high 25 points.
It was a down game for Arike Ogunbowale. Ogunbowale, the lone All-Star on the Wings roster, is leading the team in scoring at 23 points a game. The four-time All-Star is averaging an impressive 30 points a game this year against the Mercury.
Ogunbowale is one of the few bright spots for the Wings this year. They currently stand at 3-13 thanks to a laundry list of injuries. The Wings are currently missing Mady Siegrist and Satou Sabally.
Both Siegrist and Sabally are double-digit scorers and two of the reasons why the Wings are only averaging 74 points a game over their last five.
Dallas’ recent offensive struggles are a key to my AI-backed prediction.
Let's see how this Mercury vs Wings AI Prediction came together for me.
How I Use Rithmm Models for my Mercury vs Wings AI Prediction
I utilize Rithmm AI models as a tool in my handicap. My process starts with looking at the head-to-head matchup.
Then I look at trends and I discovered the following:
- Dallas is 2-8 straight-up L10
- Dallas is 2-8 ATS L10
- Dallas is 8-2 to the over L10
- Dallas is averaging 74 points a game L5
- Dallas is allowing 89 points a game L5
- Under is 4-1 in Dallas L5 games playing on 2 days rest
- PHX is 6-4 straight up L10
- PHX is 7-3 ATS L10
- PHX is 4-6 to the over L10
- PHX is scoring 88 points a game L5
- PHX is allowing 87 points a game L5
- Under is 4-1-1 in PHX L6
- Under is 4-1 in PHX L5 games following a ATS win
- Under is 3-1-1 in PHX L5 vs. Western Conference.
- Under is 3-1-1 in PHX L5 home games
Let's look at the board, currently, Phoenix is favored by 8.5 points. That seems reasonable considering Dallas’ struggle lately but that is a lot of points to cover without DT.
The total is set at 174.5. That seems high considering Phoenix has a strong record to the under.
With the trends, stats, and injury news I’m leaning towards the under.
Now let's look at my custom Rithmm AI models I used for my Mercury vs Wings AI sports prediction.
Let's break down this graphic. Rithmm allows users to customize at least three models. As you can see all three my models have the under as a safe play. That is signified by the green star next to all three models.
Let's take a closer look at the model labeled BEST Total.
This model has been killing it for me on game total AI predictions. It currently sits at a mark of 15-7-1. This model is predicting the total to land at 170 with a probability of 74.9 percent.
Check out Rithmm’s web page on how to utilize Rithmm for AI sports betting!
Phoenix Mercury vs Dallas Wings AI Prediction
Let's finish this up! I’m going with under 174.5 points. My model points that way and I agree! Enjoy your Wednesday! Good luck and remember to always gamble responsibly.
Make your own picks with your free Rithmm trial
All models are completely customizable, and while I prefer to let the app build two of the models for me while I add in one of my own to round out the Rithmm AI Picks, you can choose your own models by signing in to the Rithmm app. The sports betting AI models analyze player stats, historical data and more to provide you with another tool in your betting toolbox.
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