MLB

Marlins vs Dodgers: Predictions, Odds, & Trends

Marlins vs Dodgers Predictions, Odds, and Trends

April 28, 2025

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The Dodgers are looking to keep rolling at home as they host the Marlins in this National League matchup. With Miami struggling to stay competitive and Los Angeles firing on all cylinders, the model sees clear value in backing the heavy favorite. Below are our Marlins vs Dodgers predictions, including a data-driven score projection, betting trends, injury updates, and the best odds for tonight’s action at Dodger Stadium.

Preview of Marlins vs Dodgers Prediction

The Dodgers have been dominant at home this season, and our model projects another comfortable win against a depleted Marlins squad. Los Angeles is listed as heavy favorites across sportsbooks, but the Marlins vs Dodgers odds suggest there could still be value depending on where you shop.

Model Score Prediction:

  • Dodgers: 6.0
  • Marlins: 3.0

That gives a big edge to Los Angeles, aligning perfectly with our Marlins vs Dodgers picks, which favor the home team to win convincingly.

Who is Favored to Win Marlins vs Dodgers?

The Dodgers are heavy favorites on the Marlins vs Dodgers odds board, laying -1.5 runs across most sportsbooks. Los Angeles' high-powered offense and home-field advantage make them the clear side tonight.

Marlins backers will find big plus-money odds, but the Marlins vs Dodgers predictions from the model strongly lean toward L.A. covering the spread.

Injury Reports for Marlins vs Dodgers

Both teams are dealing with injury problems, but the Marlins are hit particularly hard, missing multiple starting pitchers and key contributors — which further strengthens the case behind our Marlins vs Dodgers predictions.

Miami Marlins Injuries:

  • Derek Hill (Hand) – D10
  • Griffin Conine (Arm) – D60
  • Nicholas Fortes (Oblique) – D10
  • Ryan Weathers (Forearm) – D15
  • Eury Pérez (Elbow) – D60
  • Andrew Nardi (Back) – D60
  • Bryan Hoeing (Shoulder) – D60
  • Declan Cronin (Hip) – D15
  • Trevor Rogers (Knee) – D15
  • Braxton Garrett (Elbow) – D60

Los Angeles Dodgers Injuries:

  • Blake Snell (Shoulder) – D15
  • Brusdar Graterol (Shoulder) – D60
  • Edgardo Henriquez (Foot) – D60
  • Michael Grove (Shoulder) – D60
  • River Ryan (Elbow) – D60
  • George Sheehan (Elbow) – D60
  • Tyler Glasnow (Shoulder) – Day to Day
  • Blake Treinen (Forearm) – D15
  • Kyle Hurt (Elbow) – D60
  • Anthony Gonsolin (Back) – D15

Marlins vs Dodgers Betting Trends

Against the Spread (Last 5 Games):

  • Marlins: 3-2 ATS
  • Dodgers: 3-2 ATS

Home/Away ATS Splits:

  • Marlins Away: 2-1 ATS
  • Dodgers Home: 2-1 ATS

Dog/Favorite ATS Records:

  • Marlins as Underdog: 3-2 ATS
  • Dodgers as Favorite: 2-2 ATS

Both teams have been solid against the spread recently, but the Marlins vs Dodgers best bets lean toward trusting the stronger home team to maintain their edge.

Model Used for Marlins vs Dodgers Best Bets

This pick is powered by a pre-built MLB prediction model, simulating the game based on key metrics like starting pitching projections, bullpen form, offensive splits, defensive metrics, and park factors.

📊 Recommended Bet: Dodgers -1.5
Win Probability: 66.7%
Odds: -152

The model expects Los Angeles' bats to overwhelm a Miami staff missing several key arms, making the Dodgers the clear choice in our Marlins vs Dodgers best bets tonight.

Best Odds for Marlins vs Dodgers

Line shopping is crucial to maximize value on tonight’s Marlins vs Dodgers odds. Here's the best number available:

Marlins vs Dodgers Best Odds (Dodgers -1.5):

  • SugarHouseNJ: -143
  • PointsBet: -149
  • MGM: -145
  • FanDuel: -154
  • DraftKings: -155

Tip: Grab the -143 at SugarHouseNJ while it’s still posted.

My Pick for Marlins vs Dodgers

Pick: Dodgers -1.5 (-143 at SugarHouseNJ)

Given the injury situation and the massive gap in offensive firepower, the Marlins vs Dodgers predictions point heavily toward L.A. covering the spread. With the best odds sitting at -143, this represents a strong value for one of the top teams in baseball to take care of business at home.

Explore More Marlins vs Dodgers Predictions

Looking for more AI-powered predictions? Check out:

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