Miami (Ohio) vs Indiana: AI Prediction

The Redhawks come into Hoosier country to take on Indiana in a Friday night matchup.

Let's take a look at the app I use for my NBA predictions that includes trends, college hoops computer picks, and best odds all curated from the Rithmm App. At the end of this post, you'll see how Rithmm's AI-driven models can help you make a more informed decision when placing your weekly bets.

How to Watch Miami (Ohio) vs Indiana NCAAM Game

• Date: Friday December 6
• Time: 7:00 PM ET
• Location: Assembly Hall, Bloomington, IN
• How to Watch: Big Ten Network

Previews and Analysis for Miami (Ohio) vs Indiana AI Prediction

Let's preview these two teams before I show you how I used the Rithmm App to create custom sports betting models to get my AI prediction.

Miami OH Preview

Miami OH brings a two-game winning streak with them tonight as they try to add to their 5 - 2 record. This is Miami’s best start to a season since 2021-22 when they started 5 - 0. The Redhawks currently sit in 2nd place in the MAC Conference tied with Akron and a half-game behind Kent.

Junior guard Peter Suder scored a career-high 42 points as he put in 17 of 21 shots to move the Redhawks past Air Force 73 - 60. Suder is averaging 17.4 points, 4.0 rebounds and 3.0 assists on the season and along with forwards Kam Craft, who has 14.1 points, 3.1 rebounds and 2.8 three-pointers and Eian Elmer who averages 14.0 points, 5.6 rebounds and 1.1 assists, make for a trio that is averaging 45.5 points per game, more than half of their average points scored per game.

Defensively the Redhawks are ranked 326th in field-goal percentage defense at 47.3% and will need to work the boards much more than their 23 defensive rebounds per game average. Indiana is 24th in the nation in field-goal percentage at 49.9 and Miami will need to find that extra level to keep this close.

KenPom ranks their overall defense at 173rd in the NCAA.

Miami OH is currently ranked 169th in the ESPN College Basketball Power Index for 2024-25.

Indiana Preview

The Hoosiers come into tonight's game with a 6 - 2 record and currently sit in 10th place in the Big 10 Conference. Indiana has won two in a row after a short two game losing streak.

Forward Malik Reneau, who has averaged 15 points per game with 6.3 rebounds and 2.6 assists on the season, put in 18 points and 10 rebounds last Monday in the Hoosiers 97 - 71 win over Sam Houston. Forward Mackenzie Mgbako leads the team with 16.8 points per game and center Oumar Ballo leads the team in rebounds with 8.3 to go along with his 12.5 points and 2.1 assists per game.

Defensively the Hoosiers are ranked 102nd in field-goal percentage defense at 41.1% and they allow 70.9 points per game. KenPom ranks their overall defense at 59th in the NCAA.

Indiana is currently ranked 56th in the ESPN College Basketball Power Index for 2024-25.

Models for my Miami (Ohio) vs Indiana AI Prediction

Indiana is the prohibitive favorite to win this game and I don't think anyone is second guessing that. And with a current spread showing the Hoosiers laying -19, this also seems like a foregone conclusion that it will be a runaway as well.

Not to mix college sports here, but as the inimitable Lee Corso says, not so fast my friends. As you can see by the model above, Indiana has only covered four games this season and in the four they didn't cover, three of them were against Gonzaga (loss) as 10-point dogs, UNC-Greensboro as 18-point favorites and SIU-Edwardsville as 27-point favorites.

Offensively the Hoosiers only outscore Miami by 6.8 points per game, and while Miami isn't a spread winning machine having only covered three of their games, there is a solid chance that they can stay with Indiana throughout this game to keep it closer than the current -19 line. The Redhawks did get blown out by 27 as +23 dogs. That could be an outlier or it can be who Miami really is against stronger teams.

The thing is, my amazing Rithmm models have been seriously on point with college basketball this season. Now I'll admit, this model is running just above 50% overall, and I haven't done the diligence yet to look at the quality of overall wins or losses, it's been a very successful model when anything is above 65%.

I'm not a fool and I don't like to part with my money, but at -19 I think the delta is just far enough that Miami can keep it close and not let Indiana run away with it.

I'll be trusting the models and putting a sprinkle on Miami OH +19.

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