The Michigan State Spartans travel south to take on the Auburn Tigers in what should be a tightly contested non-conference clash. Both teams enter the game at 4-1 over their last five and are riding solid overall form. Auburn is favored, but Michigan State's strength on the road adds intrigue to this matchup. In this article, we’ll break down the Michigan State vs Auburn predictions using Rithmm’s AI-powered insights.

Preview of Michigan State vs Auburn Prediction

Michigan State has been dominant away from home, going 4-1 on the road in their last five. However, they’ve yet to record a win as an underdog. Auburn has been equally impressive at home, boasting a 4-1 record as a favorite and 4-1 at home overall.

When considering Michigan State vs Auburn picks, the Tigers’ edge at home and better success as favorites gives them the upper hand, but the Spartans’ road form can’t be ignored.

Who is Favored to Win Michigan State vs Auburn?

Auburn enters the matchup as the favorite. Rithmm’s model projects a score of Auburn 75.7 – Michigan State 71.9, giving the Tigers a 3.8-point edge. While they have the advantage on paper, Michigan State’s recent road success gives them a legitimate shot to keep it close—or pull off the upset.

Michigan State vs Auburn History and Betting Trends

• Both teams are 4-1 straight up in their last five games
• Michigan State is 4-1 on the road
• Auburn is 4-1 at home
• Michigan State is 0-1 as an underdog
• Auburn is 4-1 as a favorite

These trends help guide the Michigan State vs Auburn predictions and suggest a closer game than the odds may indicate.

Model Used for Michigan State vs Auburn Best Bet

Rithmm’s AI model predicts a final score of:
Auburn 75.7 – Michigan State 71.9

While Auburn is expected to win, the model identifies Michigan State moneyline (+185) as a valuable play. With a 37.9% win probability, the Spartans offer +EV potential as a live underdog. These Michigan State vs Auburn best bets focus on seizing value where it exists, not just picking winners.

What Chance Does Michigan State Have of Beating Auburn?

Michigan State has a 37.9% chance of winning, according to Rithmm’s model. That may not seem high, but the +185 odds offer a significant return for a team that’s 4-1 away from home. If the Spartans can control tempo and rebound well, they’ll be in this game late.

My Pick for Michigan State vs Auburn

After reviewing Michigan State vs Auburn predictions, picks, and model insights, the value lies on the underdog. Auburn is the better team at home, but Michigan State’s road form and favorable odds make them a compelling upset pick.

Best Bet: Michigan State moneyline (+185)

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