NCAAF

Michigan State vs Oregon: AI Predictions

October 4, 2024

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Friday night lights in Eugene as #6 Oregon hosts Michigan State in Big Ten Conference action. Learn how I use predictive models and AI to make my AI Sports Betting Prediction

Preview of Michigan State vs Oregon AI Picks 

The Oregon Ducks are the new kids on the block in the Big Ten Conference and look to stay undefeated on the season and in conference play. 

Michigan State travels out west looking for their second conference win. 

Read how artificial intelligence and predictive models are used in this  AI-Powered CFB Prediction

Michigan State 

Head Coach Johnathon Smith is in his first year with MSU but has plenty of experience playing the Ducks.

Smith played and coached for Oregon’s instate rival Oregon State. He defeated them twice as a Quarterback and twice as a head coach. Coach Smith’s experience against Oregon is a factor in my MSU vs #6 Oregon AI prediction. 

Sparty currently sits with a record of 3-2, 1-1 in conference. MSU has not had a cupcake schedule. They have already played Boston College, Maryland, and Ohio State. 

This will be the second week in a row they face a top-ten opponent. 

Coach Smith may have been a quarterback but his defense has been impressive this year. 

  • 17th nationally in sacks with 15
  • 21st nationally in red zone defense at 71.3%
  • 27th nationally in tackles for loss at 35
  • 30th nationally in total defense 
  • 39th nationally in scoring defense at 19 ppg 

MSU defense is a factor in this MSU vs #6 Oregon AI wagering prediction. 

Oregon 

Oregon is known for prolific offensive attacks but has started slow for their standards. Last year the Ducks averaged a whopping 44.2 points per game versus this year averaging 36 points a game. 

Things have started to turn around for the Ducks in the last three weeks as they have averaged 40 points a game. But they are not blowing out opponents like they did last year. 

Oregon had a point differential of 36 points a game last year compared to only 18 this year. This is a factor in my Michigan State vs Oregon AI-Prediction. 

It will be interesting to see how six-year senior QB Dillion Gabriel performs against a stout MSU defense, arguably the best defense he has faced this year. 

Gabriel has had a great career. He is 15 touchdown passes away from breaking the record for most career TD passes. 

How I use Rithmm models for my Michigan State vs Oregon AI Prediction

Rithmm has set out to provide the sports gambling world with a state-of-the-art tool that utilizes predictive models and powered by AI. And let me tell you, they are achieving that goal! 

Rithmm is user-friendly and allows its users to build at least three models. You can trust the data scientist to do their thing or you can customize them if you want. 

For this MSU vs Oregon AI prediction I will be using a model that Rithmm produced for me. And man has it been producing, 8-0 against the spread! 

Here are the factors the model utilizes ⬇️

Not only does Rithmm provide models, but they also have plenty of stats and trends. It's super convenient and you don’t have to leave the app to find important data. 

Let's break down these stats. 

  • Both teams are 2-3 ATS L5
  • Oregon is 1-2 ATS at home L5
  • MSU is 2-0 ATS on the road L5
  • Oregon is 2-3 ATS as the favorite L5
  • MSU is 2-1 ATS as a dog L5

Currently, the Ducks are favored by 23.5 points and the total is set at 52.5 points. 

As I mentioned I will be using my model that is undefeated on spread bets and even before I looked at the model I was leaning towards backing Sparty and taking the points. 

This is for multiple reasons: 

  • Oregon is struggling to cover big numbers this year 
  • MSU’s defense is for real 
  • Coach Smith will want to make a statement against his old rivals 

Let's check out my Rithmm model to see what it has to say about the situation. 

For more information on how the models work click here

Using Rithmm Models to Solidify My Prediction for Michigan State vs Oregon Prediction

Let's go! This model, which is 8-0 this college football season backs up my research and lean. 

With a probability of 71.2% the model is predicting that Oregon will only win by 14 points, that is 11.5 points of value! 

Michigan State vs Oregon Ducks AI Prediction 

My official AI-powered prediction and wager for Michigan State vs #6 Oregon is MSU +23.5. The trends are pointing me that way and the model backs it up! 

I hope you enjoy your Friday night of football action and gamble responsibly.

Make your own Predictions with your free Rithmm trial

If you like what you have read and want to give Rithmm a try, click to get started or download the App. 

👉 We've got a 7-day free trial going for you to explore all the app features (and perhaps make enough money winning bets to cover months of subscription!)

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