MLB

Brewers vs Diamondbacks: Predictions, Odds, & Trends

Brewers vs Diamondbacks Predictions, Odds, and Trends

April 11, 2025

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The Milwaukee Brewers face off against the Arizona Diamondbacks in what sets up as a strong opportunity for runs. The Brewers enter this game averaging nearly 8 runs per game and now meet a Diamondbacks pitching staff that's been struggling. In this Brewers vs Diamondbacks prediction article, we’ll break down model picks, betting trends, injury news, and the best odds for Thursday’s matchup.

Preview of Brewers vs Diamondbacks Predictions

Milwaukee’s offense is rolling. They’ve gone over the total in three of their last five games and continue to dominate opposing pitching. On the flip side, Arizona has only gone over once in their last five and is averaging just 3.0 runs per game in that stretch. Still, with the Brewers covering the run total by themselves most nights, Brewers vs Diamondbacks picks lean heavily toward the over.

Who is Favored to Win Brewers vs Diamondbacks?

This is a total runs bet, not a side, and Rithmm’s AI MLB model projects a final score of Brewers 5.5 – Diamondbacks 4.5, for a total of 10 runs. With a projected 8.5-run line, that makes the over 8.5 a clear value.

With a 63.5% win probability and odds of -120, over 8.5 ranks among the strongest Brewers vs Diamondbacks best bets for Thursday night.

Injury Reports for Brewers vs Diamondbacks

The Brewers are beat up across their rotation and bullpen. Combine that with a hot lineup and the Brewers vs Diamondbacks predictions point to more offense than the market might expect.

Brewers Injuries:

  • Dayton Hall (D60 – Lat)
  • Brandon Woodruff (D15 – Shoulder)
  • Sidney Thomas (D15 – Elbow)
  • Aaron Civale (D15 – Hamstring)
  • Aaron Ashby (D15 – Oblique)
  • Robert Gasser (D60 – Elbow)
  • Nestor Cortes (D15 – Elbow)
  • Tobias Myers (D15 – Oblique)
  • Blake Perkins (D10 – Shin)

Diamondbacks Injuries:

  • Blaze Alexander (D10 – Oblique)
  • Kevin Ginkel (D15 – Shoulder)
  • Ketel Marte (D10 – Hamstring)
  • Matthew Walston (D60 – Elbow)
  • Jordan Montgomery (D60 – Elbow)

Brewers vs Diamondbacks Trends and Betting History

Brewers O/U trends:

  • 3-2 O/U in last 5 games
  • 1-2 O/U on the road
  • 7.8 average runs per game

Diamondbacks O/U trends:

  • 1-3-1 O/U in last 5 games
  • 0-2-1 O/U at home
  • 3.0 average runs per game

Even though Arizona’s offense is sluggish, Milwaukee’s recent scoring and form suggest value in backing the over in current Brewers vs Diamondbacks predictions.

Model Used for Brewers vs Diamondbacks Best Bets

Rithmm’s MLB AI Model Prediction:

  • Brewers: 5.5 runs
  • Diamondbacks: 4.5 runs
  • Total: 10 runs

With a strong projection and a 63.5% model win probability, the Brewers vs Diamondbacks picks clearly support the over 8.5.

What Chance Do the Brewers vs Diamondbacks Over Picks Have?

With Milwaukee’s lineup producing nearly 8 runs per game and the model predicting 10 total, this game has one of the highest totals on the board. That makes Brewers vs Diamondbacks best bets on the over a sharp angle to attack.

Best Odds for Brewers vs Diamondbacks

Here's a look at the best sportsbook odds for betting the over 8.5 total runs:

  • Consensus: o8.5 (-120)
  • PointsBet: o8.5 (-120)
  • WilliamHillNewJersey: o8.5 (-120)
  • Bet365NewJersey: o8.5 (-120)
  • MGM: o8.5 (-120)
  • FanDuel: o8.5 (-122)

To maximize your value, grab over 8.5 (-120) at any of the major books while it’s still available.

My Pick for Brewers vs Diamondbacks

The Brewers are red-hot offensively, and their injured rotation could open the door for Arizona to chip in a few runs. The model shows strong value on the over, and the public market hasn’t caught up.

Best Bet: Over 8.5 (-120)

Explore More Brewers vs Diamondbacks Prediction

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This AI sports betting analysis is just a glimpse of what you can expect when using Rithmm. Whether you’re looking to refine your betting strategy or want to explore in-depth data trends, Rithmm's AI tools for sports betting has all you need. Don't miss out on making more informed decisions—download the Rithmm app today for full access to our AI baseball predictions, MLB Computer Picks, AI Player Props, and custom sports betting models.

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