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Timberwolves vs Bucks: Predictions, Odds, & Trends - NBA

Timberwolves vs Bucks Predictions, Odds, and Best Bets

April 8, 2025

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The Milwaukee Bucks host the Minnesota Timberwolves in what should be a tightly contested late-season NBA matchup. With playoff positioning on the line and injury concerns looming large, this game carries plenty of betting intrigue. In this article, I break down Timberwolves vs Bucks predictions, odds movement, betting trends, and model-based picks to help you make the most informed wager.

Preview of Timberwolves vs Bucks Prediction

The Bucks enter this game with some serious question marks on the injury front, but their performance at home has been competitive. The Timberwolves, meanwhile, are rolling and have been one of the league’s most consistent teams against the spread. Despite the injuries, Timberwolves vs Bucks predictions suggest this will be a tight contest.

With both teams playing well ATS in recent games, Timberwolves vs Bucks picks lean toward Milwaukee keeping it close at home, especially if Giannis suits up.

Who is Favored to Win Timberwolves vs Bucks?

Oddsmakers favor Minnesota slightly, but Rithmm’s model sees it differently. The AI projection gives us a final score of Timberwolves 113.4 – Bucks 111.3, making Bucks +5.0 one of the more attractive values on the board.

This contradicts the market and gives me a sharp angle in Timberwolves vs Bucks best bets. Backing the Bucks with the points could provide the edge you're looking for.

Injury Report for Timberwolves vs Bucks

Injuries may determine the outcome of this game. Here’s the breakdown ahead of tonight’s clash:

Bucks:

  • Giannis Antetokounmpo (Shoulder) – Day-to-day
  • Damian Lillard (Calf) – Out
  • Pat Connaughton (Ankle) – Day-to-day
  • Jericho Sims (Thumb) – Out

Timberwolves:

  • Terrence Shannon (Groin) – Day-to-day

If you're placing Timberwolves vs Bucks bets, make sure to monitor this injury report closely, especially Giannis' status.

Timberwolves vs Bucks History and Betting Trends

If you’re looking for strong Timberwolves vs Bucks odds angles, recent trends should bolster your position:

  • Timberwolves are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games
  • Timberwolves are 2-1 ATS on the road
  • Timberwolves are 3-1 ATS as a favorite
  • Bucks are 3-2 ATS in their last 5 games
  • Bucks are 1-1 ATS at home
  • Bucks are 1-0 ATS as a dog

These trends support value on the home underdog side when examining Timberwolves vs Bucks best bets.

Model Used for Timberwolves vs Bucks Best Bets

Rithmm’s NBA model is projecting:

  • Timberwolves: 113.4
  • Bucks: 111.3

This slight edge on the model makes Bucks +5.0 a recommended play, especially at -107. It’s one of the top Timberwolves vs Bucks picks for tonight’s slate and qualifies as a strong addition to your card.

Best Odds for Timberwolves vs Bucks

Line shopping is essential to finding value in Timberwolves vs Bucks odds. Here are the best odds for Bucks +5.5 across sportsbooks:

  • DraftKings: +5.5 (-115) ✅ Best odds
  • MGM: +5.5 (-115)
  • PointsBet: +5.5 (-120)
  • FanDuel: +5.0 (-110)
  • SugarHouseNJ: +5.0 (-114)
  • WilliamHillNJ: +5.0 (-105)
  • Bet365NJ: +5.0 (-105)

To maximize your value, grab Bucks +5.5 (-115) at DraftKings or MGM while it's available. This is a great way to capitalize on the Timberwolves vs Bucks best odds available.

My Pick for Timberwolves vs Bucks

After reviewing the AI projection, injury news, and recent form, Bucks +5.5 stands out among Timberwolves vs Bucks best bets. The model gives Milwaukee a 58.2% chance of covering, and their performance at home suggests they’ll be competitive.

If Giannis plays, the Timberwolves vs Bucks predictions become even more favorable for the Bucks. But even without him, there’s enough value to back the spread.

Best Bet: Bucks +5.5 (-115)

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