Rithmm MLB Picks for April 14: What the Models Are Seeing Tonight

Published on
April 14, 2026
Sean Ramsey
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Sixty-nine MLB predictions loaded for tonight's slate as of writing this. Here's what stands out: the pattern the model has been hitting at nearly 70% all season.

The Pattern Pick: Merrill Kelly UNDER 5.5 Hits Allowed @ BAL

This is the lead. Not because of tonight's number alone, but because of what the model has been doing at this exact line all season.

The pattern: When the model recommends UNDER on pitcher hits allowed at the 5.5 line, it has gone 18-8 this season. That's a 69.2% win rate across 26 predictions, at +24.3% ROI.

Tonight's pick: Merrill Kelly starts for Arizona @ Baltimore. The model predicts 4.8 hits allowed, well inside the UNDER at 5.5.

When a live prediction lands on a line the model has been hitting at nearly 70% all year, that's the convergence Rithmm surfaces. Tonight, Merrill Kelly @ Baltimore is that pick.

Game time: Today 10:35 PM ET


Tonight's Slate at a Glance

69 MLB predictions are loaded in the app for tonight. The pick above represents one of the the strongest model outputs: the Pitcher under hits allowed pattern.

Open Rithmm to see the full slate with model predictions, win probabilities, and line comparisons across every game tonight.

Start a 7-day free trial and see everything the model is flagging tonight.

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