If you're looking for a clean NBA Cup play for tonight, our model has identified one prop with a meaningful edge: Luke Kornet under 7.5 rebounds.

Why the Model Likes the Under

Our projection for Kornet is 5.7 rebounds, creating a strong gap between the expected outcome and the sportsbook line.
The win chance is 64.1%, which makes this exactly the type of prop where small edges add up over time.

Supporting Trends and Recent Performance

The trend profile supports it as well.
Over his last 20 games, Kornet has gone under 7.5 rebounds in 73% of them. His average during that stretch is 6.2, and he only spikes above this number in rare situations where minutes increase unexpectedly. In a matchup like tonight, the data leans toward the under performing closer to his season norm.

When Projection, Trend, and Matchup Align

When the projection, the historical performance, and the matchup context all align, you get a play that stands out without needing anything flashy.

How to Use This in Parlays

If you like using props like this to anchor parlays, this is the type of leg that provides stability. A strong projection edge paired with a consistent trend can be the foundation for multi-leg builds.

Explore More NBA Cup Edges in Rithmm

Tonight offers a full slate for the NBA Cup, and there are several other prop, spread, and total edges available inside Rithmm.

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