The 2024 NCAA Tournament continues with New Mexico vs Michigan State in what should be an exciting Round of 32 showdown. Both teams are coming in with momentum, and bettors are looking for edges in this matchup. Let’s break down our New Mexico vs Michigan State predictions, picks, and best bets using insights from Rithmm’s AI-powered models.

Preview of New Mexico vs Michigan State Prediction

New Mexico enters this matchup with a 4-1 overall record and an impressive 3-2 record on the road. The Lobos are capable of pulling off upsets, making them a dangerous underdog in this New Mexico vs Michigan State matchup.

Michigan State also holds a 4-1 overall record, going 4-1 at home and proving tough in front of their fans. The Spartans are balanced and efficient, but this matchup could still test them against a scrappy New Mexico squad.

Who is Favored to Win New Mexico vs Michigan State?

Michigan State enters as the favorite, backed by home-court advantage and a strong track record in March. However, with New Mexico’s ability to cover spreads and compete as an underdog, this New Mexico vs Michigan State game could be closer than oddsmakers suggest.

New Mexico vs Michigan State History and Trends

Before making New Mexico vs Michigan State picks, here are some key betting trends:

• New Mexico is 4-1 overall and 3-2 on the road.
• Michigan State also sits at 4-1 overall with a 4-1 record at home.
• The Lobos are 1-0 as underdogs, while the Spartans are 4-0 as favorites.

This shows that both teams tend to live up to expectations, but New Mexico has shown they can hang tough when overlooked.

How Many Times Has Michigan State Beaten New Mexico?

These two programs haven’t faced each other often in tournament play, but Michigan State’s pedigree suggests they’ve historically had the edge. Still, New Mexico’s track record as an underdog makes this New Mexico vs Michigan State prediction interesting for bettors.

Model Used for New Mexico vs Michigan State Best Bet

Using Rithmm’s pre-built NCAAM model, we analyze team stats and betting data to find the best picks for New Mexico vs Michigan State.

Model Prediction:

• New Mexico 71.4, Michigan State 76.2

The model projects a tight contest, and the recommended pick is New Mexico Moneyline (+263) with a 33.0% win probability.

What Chance Does New Mexico Have of Beating Michigan State?

According to Rithmm’s model, New Mexico has a 33.0% chance of pulling off the upset. This makes the Lobos a live underdog worth considering in New Mexico vs Michigan State picks and predictions.

My Pick for New Mexico vs Michigan State

After reviewing New Mexico vs Michigan State predictions, trends, and Rithmm model insights, I’m backing the Lobos at +263. The combination of value on the moneyline and New Mexico’s ability to show up in big moments makes this a strong play.

Best Bet: New Mexico Moneyline (+263)

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