Rithmm’s predictive models continue to deliver across the NFL prop markets, with data that speaks for itself.
Through this season, Rithmm’s recommended NFL props are 630–527 (+29.67 units) — steady and consistent week after week.
Now, the models are flagging another strong Smart Signal for Sunday’s slate.
Featured Smart Signal: Puka Nacua Under 91.5 Receiving Yards (–114)
- Model Projection: 70.4 yards
- Win Probability: 69.6%
- DTM: +35.0%
- Odds: –114
- Signal Type:Receiving Yards + Unders + Win Chance 60–70%*
- Historical Performance: 337-sample record of 196–141 (58% hit rate) and +10.0% ROI
This is tagged as a Sharp Under by Rithmm’s predictive model — and for good reason.
Why the Model Favors the Under
1. Matchup Context
Nacua faces a disciplined 49ers defense that’s limiting WR1 production through coverage rotations and safety help over the top.
The model’s opponent-adjusted metrics project him closer to 70 yards, not 90+.
2. Historical Trend Alignment
Across his last five games, Nacua averages 77.0 yards with a 67% hit rate on unders in similar matchups.
The model’s projection (70.4) aligns tightly with that pattern.
3. Strong Predictive Confidence
The Smart Signal’s 35% DTM means Rithmm’s model disagrees sharply with the market — signaling a significant pricing inefficiency.
Sunday Prep
Smart Signals are live now for Sunday’s slate — including receiving, rushing, and combo props.
Check which models align, verify DTM, and track your bets directly in the app before kickoff.
> Rithmm continues to show that when predictive analytics meet market inefficiency, the results compound — one prop at a time.
See NFL Smart Signals in Rithmm!