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Norfolk State vs Florida: Predictions & Best Bet - NCAAB

Norfolk State vs Florida Predictions and Best Bets

March 20, 2025

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The 2024-25 college basketball season continues with Norfolk State vs Florida in what should be an exciting non-conference matchup. Both teams are looking to stay sharp before heading into their conference schedules. Let’s break down our Norfolk State vs Florida predictions, picks, and best bets using insights from Rithmm’s AI-powered models.

Preview of Norfolk State vs Florida Prediction

Norfolk State enters this matchup with a 1-4 record against the spread (ATS), struggling to cover in recent outings. However, they’ve been respectable on the road with a 1-1 away ATS record. The Spartans will need a big effort to keep this Norfolk State vs Florida game close against a high-powered Gators team.

Florida has been excellent at home, with a 4-0 home ATS record and a perfect 5-0 overall record ATS. The Gators’ consistency makes them a tough opponent in this Norfolk State vs Florida matchup. Their dominance as a favorite (4-0) will be something bettors consider when making picks.

Who is Favored to Win Norfolk State vs Florida?

Florida enters as the heavy favorite, and rightfully so. They’ve dominated against the spread and boast an explosive offense. However, the large spread could give Norfolk State a chance to cover. This Norfolk State vs Florida showdown could see the Spartans sneak inside the number.

Norfolk State vs Florida History and Trends

Before locking in Norfolk State vs Florida picks, here are key betting trends:

  • Norfolk State is 1-4 ATS overall and 1-1 ATS on the road.
  • Florida holds a 5-0 ATS record, including a perfect 4-0 ATS at home.
  • The Gators are 4-0 ATS as a favorite, while Norfolk State has yet to cover as an underdog (0-0).

How many times has Florida beaten Norfolk State?

Historically, Florida has the edge in this matchup. However, recent betting trends and the large spread indicate that Norfolk State could still be a factor in covering. This Norfolk State vs Florida game may be more interesting than the odds suggest.

Model Used for Norfolk State vs Florida Best Bet

Using Rithmm’s pre-built NCAAM model, we analyze team data and betting trends to find the best bets for Norfolk State vs Florida.

Model prediction:

  • Florida: 86.9
  • Norfolk State: 65.4

The model sees a decisive Florida win but recommends taking Norfolk State +28.5 with a 67.8% win probability on the spread.

What chance does Norfolk State have of beating Florida?

According to Rithmm’s model, Norfolk State’s chance to win outright is slim, but their chance of covering the large spread is significant. The model projects a 67.8% probability for the Spartans to cover in this Norfolk State vs Florida matchup.

My Pick for Norfolk State vs Florida

After breaking down the Norfolk State vs Florida predictions and Rithmm’s model, my best bet is Norfolk State +28.5. Florida should win comfortably, but covering nearly 30 points is a tall task even for a team this dominant.

Best Bet: Norfolk State +28.5 (-112)

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