The 2024-2025 NBA season features an exciting marquee showdown between two of the league’s best teams as the Oklahoma City Thunder take on the Boston Celtics. With elite offenses, strong defenses, and MVP-caliber stars, this game presents several betting angles. Let’s break down our Thunder vs Celtics predictions, picks, and best bets using AI-powered sports betting models from Rithmm.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Boston Celtics Predictions

Oklahoma City Thunder Preview

The Thunder have been the most dominant team in the Western Conference, holding an 11-game lead over Denver and sitting just 1.5 games behind Cleveland for the best record in the league. However, their seven-game winning streak ended in a 140-127 loss to Denver in their last outing.

Recent Game:

• March 10 loss to Denver (140-127) – The game was tight through three quarters before Denver pulled away with an 18-2 fourth-quarter run.
• Shooting Performance: 47% from the field, 40.4% from three.
• Top Performer: Luguentz Dort (26 points, 9-of-16 shooting).

Key Players to Watch:

• Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (MVP frontrunner) – 32.7 PPG, 6.2 APG.
• Isaiah Hartenstein (Rebounding leader) – 11.2 RPG.

Thunder Team Stats:

• Offense:
  • 119.7 PPG (4th in NBA)
  • 47.8% FG (9th in NBA)
  • 36.7% from three (10th in NBA)
• Defense:
  • 107.1 PPG allowed (2nd best in NBA)
  • Opponents shoot just 43.6% FG (league-best)
  • 33.6% opponent three-point shooting (league-best)

Thunder Betting Trends for Thunder vs Celtics Picks:

• 40-21-4 ATS overall
• 18-11-2 ATS on the road
• 1-1 ATS as an underdog
• The over has hit in 35 of 65 games (35-28-2 overall)
• Over is 7-3 in their last 10 games

Based on these numbers, the Thunder vs Celtics predictions suggest Oklahoma City could be a strong ATS play, especially given their elite road record and recent success.

Boston Celtics Preview

The Boston Celtics are on a five-game winning streak, maintaining their position as the No. 2 seed in the East. While they trail Cleveland by 7.5 games, they have a 5.5-game cushion over the Knicks and continue to play well at home with a 23-11 record at TD Garden.

Recent Game:

• March 10 win over Utah (114-108) – Boston led most of the way before the Jazz tied it late, but the Celtics responded with a 9-5 closing run.
• Shooting Performance: 43% FG, 34% from three.
• Top Performer: Sam Hauser (33 points, 11-for-23 shooting).

Key Players to Watch:

• Jayson Tatum – 27.1 PPG, 8.9 RPG, 5.8 APG (leads team in all three categories).

Celtics Team Stats:

• Offense:
  • 116.9 PPG (7th overall)
  • 46.2% FG (18th in NBA)
  • 37.1% from three (6th in NBA)
• Defense:
  • 108.2 PPG allowed (3rd best in NBA)
  • Opponent FG%: 45.3% (2nd best in NBA)
  • Opponent 3PT%: 34.8% (5th best in NBA)

Celtics Betting Trends for Thunder vs Celtics Best Bets:

• 29-35-1 ATS this season
• 15-19 ATS at home
• 28-33-1 ATS as a favorite
• The under has hit in 35 of 65 games (35-29-1 overall)
• Under is 6-4 in their last 10 games

The Thunder vs Celtics picks suggest Boston’s ATS struggles could be a concern, especially against an Oklahoma City team that has been excellent against the spread (ATS) on the road.

How I Use Rithmm Models for Thunder vs Celtics Best Bets

Spread & Betting Line Trends:

• Boston Celtics (-3.5) are favored in this matchup.
• The total for the game is set at 229 points.

Boston Celtics Betting Trends:

• Boston is on a five-game winning streak and has won 11 of their last 13 games.
• The Celtics are 4-1 ATS in their last five games.
• Boston has a 23-11 home record this season.

Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Trends:

• The Thunder have won their last five road games, averaging 132 PPG while allowing 119 PPG.
• Oklahoma City is 3-2 ATS in their last five road games.
• The Thunder have a 2-1 straight-up and ATS record in their last three games as underdogs.

Head-to-Head Trends for Thunder vs Celtics Predictions:

• The over has hit in seven of the last eight meetings between these teams.

Injury Updates:

• Celtics: Jayson Tatum is questionable for the game.
• Thunder: Jalen Williams is questionable due to a hip injury.

My Thunder vs Celtics Best Bet

The Thunder vs Celtics predictions indicate this will be a tight contest between two of the NBA’s best teams. Boston enters this game on a five-game winning streak, but Kristaps Porzingis is questionable, which could give Oklahoma City an edge inside with Chet Holmgren and Isaiah Hartenstein controlling the paint.

Additionally, the Thunder boast the MVP frontrunner in Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, who has helped lead them to elite rankings on both offense and defense. While Boston is dominant at home, their ATS struggles (15-19 ATS at home) are concerning.

Meanwhile, Oklahoma City has been excellent on the road (18-11-2 ATS), making them a strong betting option against the spread. With both teams capable of elite defensive performances, this game could stay within the spread, favoring the underdog Thunder.

Best Bet: Thunder +3.5

Explore More Thunder vs Celtics Best Bets

Looking for more AI-powered predictions? Check out:

• AI Sports Betting insights for smarter decision-making.
• NBA AI Sports Predictions for advanced game insights.
• Computer NBA Picks for expert computer-driven predictions.
• NBA PrizePicks for AI PrizePick predictions.
• AI NBA Player Props for deeper in-game data

Do you also bet on college basketball? Get your March Madness AI Predictions and check out our March Madness AI Bracket Generator as well!

This AI sports betting analysis is just a glimpse of what you can expect when using Rithmm. Whether you’re looking to refine your betting strategy or want to explore in-depth data trends, Rithmm's AI tools for sports betting has all you need. Don't miss out on making more informed decisions—download the Rithmm app today for full access to our AI basketball predictions, NBA Computer Picks, AI Player Props, and custom sports betting models.