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Thunder vs Grizzlies: Predictions, Picks, and Best Bets - NBA

Thunder vs Grizzlies Predictions and Best Bets

March 5, 2025

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We’re deep into the NBA season, and matchups like this one between the Oklahoma City Thunder and Memphis Grizzlies present key opportunities to find value. The Thunder have been up and down with a 2-3 record ATS in their last five, while the Grizzlies continue to struggle to stay competitive. Let's dive into our Thunder vs Grizzlies predictions, picks, and best bets using Rithmm's AI-powered insights.

Preview of Thunder vs Grizzlies Predictions

The Thunder enter this matchup looking to bounce back after covering just two of their last five games. While they've been solid on the road this season, their recent inconsistency has left some question marks heading into this matchup. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander continues to be the driving force behind their offense, but defensive lapses have hurt them in recent games.

The Grizzlies, meanwhile, have been struggling. They’re 0-5 ATS in their last five games and haven't been able to cover spreads, especially at home. That plays a major role in our Thunder vs Grizzlies pick.

Who is Favored to Win Thunder vs Grizzlies?

Oklahoma City is the clear favorite in this one, but with a sizeable spread, there’s potential value in backing Memphis to keep it close.

Thunder vs Grizzlies History

Before making any Thunder vs Grizzlies predictions, it’s important to look at the recent history between these teams. The Thunder have typically had the upper hand in this matchup, but Memphis has managed to stay competitive in several recent meetings despite being shorthanded.

How many times has Oklahoma City beat Memphis?

Oklahoma City has had the edge in recent years, but the Grizzlies have pulled off some surprising upsets, particularly when playing on their home floor.

Model Used For My Thunder vs Grizzlies Best Bet Prediction

Using Rithmm’s pre-built NBA model, we get an insightful look at this matchup to help guide our Thunder vs Grizzlies best bets. The model analyzes team trends, key stats, and head-to-head dynamics to highlight where the value lies.

What chance does Memphis have of beating Oklahoma City?

According to Rithmm’s model, Memphis is projected at +8.2, which closely aligns with the +9.0 spread. The data shows a slight edge in favor of the Grizzlies covering in this spot, despite their recent cold streak.

My Pick for Thunder vs Grizzlies

After reviewing the Rithmm model and the latest trends, my lean is towards the Grizzlies covering the +9.0 spread. While the Thunder are clearly the better team, Memphis is at home and catching a decent number, which makes this one of the more intriguing Thunder vs Grizzlies best bets today.

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Do you also bet on college basketball? Get your March Madness AI Predictions and check out our March Madness AI Bracket Generator as well!

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