The 2024-25 NBA season continues with an exciting Western Conference showdown between the Oklahoma City Thunder and Sacramento Kings. Both teams are looking to solidify their playoff standing and build momentum heading into the final stretch. Let’s break down our Thunder vs Kings predictions, picks, and best bets using insights from Rithmm’s AI-powered models.

Preview of Thunder vs Kings Prediction

Oklahoma City comes into this matchup on fire against the spread (ATS), boasting a perfect 5-0 overall record and a 3-0 mark on the road. The Thunder have been dominant as favorites, covering all five times they’ve been in that position.

Meanwhile, the Kings have struggled, sitting at 2-3 overall ATS and 2-3 at home. Sacramento has been inconsistent and will need a strong performance to stay competitive in this Thunder vs Kings matchup.

Who is Favored to Win Thunder vs Kings?

The Thunder enter this game as clear favorites, supported by their excellent ATS record and consistent performances on both ends of the floor. However, the Kings’ ability to rise to the occasion as underdogs keeps this Thunder vs Kings contest intriguing.

Thunder vs Kings History and Trends

Before making Thunder vs Kings picks, let's take a look at recent betting trends:

• The Thunder are 5-0 overall ATS and 3-0 on the road.
• The Kings are 2-3 overall ATS and 2-3 at home.
• OKC has been dominant as favorites (5-0 ATS), while Sacramento has been average in the underdog role (1-1).

How Many Times Has OKC Beaten the Kings?

Historically, the Thunder have had success against the Kings in key matchups. With Oklahoma City’s red-hot form and Sacramento’s struggles to cover at home, this Thunder vs Kings prediction leans in OKC’s favor.

Model Used for Thunder vs Kings Best Bet

Using Rithmm’s pre-built NBA model, we analyze stats and betting data to identify the top Thunder vs Kings best bets:

Model prediction:

• Thunder: 120.3
• Kings: 110.9

The model projects a double-digit Thunder win but sees value on the Kings’ side of the spread.

Recommended pick: Kings +10.0 with a 54.0% win probability to cover.

What Chance Do the Kings Have of Covering?

According to Rithmm’s model, the Kings have a 54.0% chance of covering the +10 spread. While an outright win may be unlikely, the Kings’ underdog role and potential for a closer-than-expected game make them worth considering in Thunder vs Kings predictions.

My Pick for Thunder vs Kings

After reviewing Thunder vs Kings predictions, betting trends, and Rithmm model insights, my pick is Kings +10. Despite their struggles, the Kings are in a strong position to cover at home against a Thunder team that could be due for regression.

Best Bet: Kings +10.0

Explore More Thunder vs Kings Best Bets

Looking for more AI-powered predictions? Check out:

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• AI NBA Player Props for deeper in-game data

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